Top Scoops

Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | Scoop News | Wellington Scoop | Community Scoop | Search

 

Supercomputer Weather: Tokyo Typhoons Nos. 2 and 3

The above forecast image from the NOAA supercomputer weather model shows the arrival of Typhoon Danas in downtown Tokyo on Thursday.

And according to the NOAA medium range forecast, Tokyo, which has been struck by only two typhoons in the last two decades, is facing the prospects of being battered by three typhoons in the space of a single month.

Typhoon Danas is weaker than typhoon Pabuk (see… Destination Tokyo For Typhoon Pabuk, Sludge Report #103 - A Perfect Storm For Kyoto and Typhoon Pabuk Lands, Heads For Tokyo ) which hit the Japanese capital late last month and killed several people during its passage over the Japanese mainland.

See the following links for detail of the forecast path of Typhoon Danas:
+12 Hours
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/danas12hrs.gif
+24 Hours
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/danas24hrs.gif
+36 Hours
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/danas36hrs.gif
+48 Hours
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/danas48hrs.gif

See also the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre’s forecast path for Danas:
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/products/jtwc/wp1901.gif

However, while Danas may be weakening and will soon have crossed Japan heading north, another typhoon, Nari, is already gathering strength over the sea near the island of Okinawa, and is threatening to wreck considerable damage on the Japanese Islands this coming weekend.

By Saturday, according to the NOAA supercomputer weather model, Typhoon Nari will have reached hurricane intensity, and its outer edges will be approaching Tokyo as the above image shows.

The current NOAA forecast path for Typhoon Nari shows it passing the Japanese islands to the south, heading east.

See the following links for detail of the forecast path of Typhoon Nari:
September 15th
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/typhoon2015th.gif
September 16th
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/typhoon2016th.gif
September 17th
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/typhoon2017th.gif
September 18th
http://img.scoop.co.nz/stories/images/weather/japantyphoon/typhoon2018th.gif

See also the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre’s forecast path for Nari:
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/products/jtwc/wp2001.gif

However typhoons and hurricanes are notoriously unpredictable in their paths, and in earlier forecasts for this storm NOAA has placed Tokyo in its direct path. It is also worth noting that most computer forecast models initially predicted that both Pabuk and Danas would pass by to the South of Japan.

For a live reading on the status of these typhoons and any others around the globe see the excellent resources at…

The University of Wisconsin
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/

and…

The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html


© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Top Scoops Headlines

 


Ian Powell: Are we happy living in Handy's Age of Unreason?

On 19 June the Sunday Star Times published my column on the relationship between the Labour government’s stewardship of Aotearoa New Zealand’s health system and the outcome of the next general election expected to be around September-October 2023: Is the health system an electoral sword of Damocles for Labour... More>>


The First Attack On The Independents: Albanese Hobbles The Crossbench
It did not take long for the new Australian Labor government to flex its muscle foolishly in response to the large crossbench of independents and small party members of Parliament. Despite promising a new age of transparency and accountability after the election of May 21, one of the first notable acts of the Albanese government was to attack the very people who gave voice to that movement. Dangerously, old party rule, however slim, is again found boneheaded and wanting... More>>


Binoy Kampmark: Predictable Monstrosities: Priti Patel Approves Assange’s Extradition
The only shock about the UK Home Secretary’s decision regarding Julian Assange was that it did not come sooner. In April, Chief Magistrate Senior District Judge Paul Goldspring expressed the view that he was “duty-bound” to send the case to Priti Patel to decide on whether to extradite the WikiLeaks founder to the United States to face 18 charges, 17 grafted from the US Espionage Act of 1917... More>>


Dunne Speaks: Roe V. Wade Blindsides National

Momentum is everything in politics, but it is very fragile. There are times when unexpected actions can produce big shifts and changes in the political landscape. In 2017, for example, the Labour Party appeared headed for another hefty defeat in that year’s election until the abrupt decision of its then leader to step aside just weeks before the election. That decision changed the political landscape and set in train the events which led to Labour being anointed by New Zealand First to form a coalition government just a few weeks later... More>>

Digitl: Infrastructure Commission wants digital strategy
Earlier this month Te Waihanga, New Zealand’s infrastructure commission, tabled its first Infrastructure Strategy: Rautaki Hanganga o Aotearoa. Te Waihanga describes its document as a road map for a thriving New Zealand... More>>


Binoy Kampmark: Leaking For Roe V Wade
The US Supreme Court Chief Justice was furious. For the first time in history, the raw judicial process of one of the most powerful, and opaque arms of government, had been exposed via media – at least in preliminary form. It resembled, in no negligible way, the publication by WikiLeaks of various drafts of the Trans-Pacific Partnership... More>>