Top Scoops

Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | Scoop News | Wellington Scoop | Community Scoop | Search


Molesworth & Featherston (Weekend) – Oct. 29 2006

Molesworth & Featherston - Weekend Update edition

Business and Political News
October 29th 2006

Direct Link To This Week's Weekend Update Edition:

Rolling average poll

National Open Five-Point Lead

As Labour spends the weekend at its party conference there are dramatic changes going on in the numbers underlying our rolling poll of polls - though they’re not really reflected in the seats or the possible make-up of a Government that we extrapolate from them.

Both the latest Roy Morgan poll and the more historical UMR poll showed Labour and National virtually neck and neck. Then up popped Monday’s One News poll, showing a vast thirteen point lead for National - unseen since the Winter of Discontent in 2000. But hey, that’s why we like our middle-ofthe road poll of polls which irons out these huge contradictory swings.

Among the minor parties there are interesting dynamics at work too. The Greens are firming to about seven per cent. Below the radar New Zealand First also seems to be holding or improving slightly after dipping down close to three per cent, although it is still below five per cent. Act is also looking a little better.

Assuming the Maori Party keeps its four seats and the party leaders in the House hold their electorates, it is a 122 seat House with one Progressive and one Maori Party overhang seat. Labour with the Greens and Jim Anderton is three short of a majority. A National-led Government would need Act and United Future plus the Maori Party, or the Greens alone:

National 44.55% 55 seats
Labour 39.06 49
Greens 6.98 9
NZ First 3.71 0
Maori Party 2.06 4
United Future 1.44 2
Act 1.56 2
Progressive 0.16 1


The Weekend Update is a complimentary, condensed edition of the paid-subscription only Governor’s Edition published earlier last week.

The ‘Governor’s Edition’ of Molesworth & Featherston is released from its trap deep in the Earth every week.

Bulk subscriptions are available with heavy discounts for organisations to send one to every decision-makers’ in-box.

Just email us for details or secure an individual subscription online through the awardwinning Good-Returns site with your credit card HERE.

Direct Link To This Week's Weekend Update Edition:

© Scoop Media

Top Scoops Headlines


Binoy Kampmark: Biden’s Victory: A Eunuch Presidency Beckons

Whatever was set to happen on November 3, President Donald J. Trump would not lose. Falling in that establishment firebreak against democracy known as the Electoral College would not erase, let alone repudiate him. His now victorious opponent, far ... More>>

Reese Ehrlich: Foreign Correspondent: The Challenge For Joe Biden

If he’s smart, the likely President-elect will stop the unpopular endless wars and use the money to help our domestic economy. By Reese Erlich I’m pissed. I’m pissed at Donald Trump for trying to shut down the vote count early and at Republicans More>>

Boris Johnson At Sea: Coronavirus Confusion In The UK

The tide has been turning against UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Oafishly, he has managed to convert that tide into a deluge of dissatisfaction assisted by the gravitational pull of singular incompetence. Much of this is due to such errors of ... More>>

The Conversation: Biodiversity: Where The World Is Making Progress – And Where It’s Not

The future of biodiversity hangs in the balance. World leaders are gathering to review international targets and make new pledges for action to stem wildlife declines. Depending on whether you are a glass half-full or half-empty person, you’re likely ... More>>

The Conversation: The Numbers Suggest The Campaign For Cannabis Reform In NZ Will Outlive The Generations That Voted Against It

Like Brexit in the UK, cannabis reform in New Zealand fell into an age gap — given time, a second referendum would probably succeed. More>>

Gordon Campbell: 22 Short Takes On The US Election

Finally, the long night of Donald Trump’s presidency is over. To date, the courts have been given no cause to conclude that the exhaustively lengthy counts of those mountains of mail ballots was anything other than legal. Stacking the US Supreme ... More>>

Gordon Campbell: On How The US Supreme Court Is Undermining American Democracy

If Joe Biden is elected President next week, here comes the bad news. If Biden tries to defend Obamacare, combat climate change (via say, a variant of the Green New Deal) or tries to improve the access of US women to abortion services , he will run afoul ... More>>

The Coronavirus Republic: Three Million Infections And Rising

The United States is famed for doing things, not to scale, but off it. Size is the be-all and end-all, and the coronavirus is now doing its bit to assure that the country remains unrivalled in the charts of infection . In time, other unfortunates may well ... More>>

  • PublicAddress
  • Pundit
  • Kiwiblog