Left Break Away - 13 per cent Between Main Parties
A TV 3 CM Research Poll shows National slumping in support down five per cent to 28 per cent with Labour gaining four per cent to 41 per cent.
TV 3 began polling last Monday, the day the All Blacks lost to France and continued polling until Thursday. The poll was of 1000 people and has a margin of error of three per cent.
ACT has gained one point to 10 per cent, the Alliance are static on seven, NZ First static on six and the Greens up 0.4 to 2.9 per cent.
If the Green co-leader Jeanette Fitzsimons wins the seat of Coromandel the Labour/Alliance/Green grouping would hold a majority of 64 seats in the House, with the Greens four seats they would bring proving crucial. The left would then be able to ignore the Winston Peters factor.
The National/ACT/United grouping would only hold 49 seats and even with the unlikely support from NZ First would not be enough to form a government.
Prime minister Jenny Shipley is also seeing her popularity fall. In the preferred Prime Minister stakes Helen Clark leads on 21 percent with Jenny Shipley back on 19 per cent, down three.
This poll is the biggest fluctuation to date, yet it follows the Sunday Star Times weekend poll which also showed the left breaking away.