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Mâori TV TNS Poll – Te Tai Tonga Electorate

Mâori Television Tns Poll – Te Tai Tonga Electorate


Mâori Television has today released the final results of its election opinion poll of the Mâori electorates.

Over the past two weeks Mâori Television has announced results for six of the seven Mâori electorates – Tamaki Makaurau, Tainui, Ikaroa Rawhiti, Te Tai Tokerau, Te Tai Hauauru and Waiariki. Outlined below are the results for the Mâori electorate of Te Tai Tonga.

The Te Tai Tonga electorate poll was conducted from 5-12 September 2005 by TNS Research Ltd. Results for the Te Tai Tonga electorate follow:

Preferred Party

If an election was held yesterday, which political party would you have voted for?


Preferred Party Te Tai Tonga %
Labour Party 60
Mâori Party 14
New Zealand First 6
National Party 9
Green Party 4
Destiny New Zealand 1
United Future 1
Act New Zealand 1
Alliance *
Other 3
Base 290
Don’t know/ none 17
Base 350
*less than 0.5%

Preferred Electorate Candidate

If an election was held yesterday, which of the following Mâori electorate candidates would you have voted for?


Preferred Candidate – Te Tai Tonga % (of those who stated a preference)
%
Mahara Okeroa (Labour) 51
Monte Ohia (Mâori Party) 30
Metiria Turei (The Greens) 9
Maru Samuel (Destiny NZ) 5
Russell Caldwell (Progressive Party) 1
Other 4
Base 284
Don’t know/none 19
Base 350
Changed Vote?

In the last four weeks, have you changed your mind about the way you will vote?


Changed Vote Te Tai Tonga %
Yes 23
No 71
Don’t know 5
Base 350


Main Reason for Changing Vote in Last Four Weeks

What is the MAIN reason you have changed your vote in the last 4 weeks?


Main reason for changing vote Te Tai Tonga %
Policies or issues (general) 28
Tax policy 11
Watching/listening to the debate 10
Mâori issues 11
Do not want National Party 11
Was previously undecided 7
Student loans 2
Attracted to Labour Party 0
Other 15
Don’t know 6
Base (have decided to change vote in last 4 weeks) 82

Preferred Prime Minister

Of all political leaders in New Zealand, who would you most prefer to be Prime Minister?


Preferred Prime Minister Te Tai Tonga %
Helen Clark (Labour Party) 60
Winston Peters (New Zealand First Party) 10
Tariana Turia (Mâori Party) 5
Pita Sharples (Mâori Party) 2
Don Brash (National Party) 4
Richard Lewis (Destiny New Zealand) 1
Jim Anderton (Jim Anderton’s Progressive) 1
Jeanette Fitzsimons (Green Party) 1
Te Ururoa Flavell (Mâori Party) *
Other 2
None 2
Don’t Know 12
Base 350
*less than 0.5%


Research Methodology


Date poll was conducted Interviews were conducted over the period 5-12 September 2005
Sample Size in each electorate 350 voter eligible Mâori aged 18+ (enrolled on the Mâori Electoral Roll)
Sampling Technique Telephone Interviews. Random selection of telephone numbers (tele-matched from Mâori Electoral Roll) with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age and sex within each electorate.
Sample Coverage Te Tai Tonga
Sample Error Maximum of 5.2% expressed at a 95% confidence level

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