Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search


Growth of families, projected to exceed population

Embargoed until 10:45am – 8 December 2008

Growth of families and households projected to exceed population growth

Numbers of families and households in New Zealand are projected to increase by 23 percent and 34 percent from 2006 to 2031, exceeding projected population growth of 22 percent, Statistics New Zealand said today. These figures are from the latest 2006-base national family and household projections.

The faster growth in the number of families and households is due to the ageing of New Zealand's population, leading to an increasing proportion of 'couple without children families' and one-person households. These figures are from mid-range series 5B, one of six different projection series used to indicate the likely future number and type of New Zealand's families and households.

The number of families is projected to increase from an estimated 1.17 million in 2006 to 1.44 million in 2031. Couple without children families will account for the majority of this growth, up from 468,000 in 2006 to 730,000 in 2031.

The increasing prevalence of couple without children families is mainly due to the increasing number of people born after World War II reaching the older ages (50 years and over), where they are most likely to live as a partner in a couple without children family. Most of these couples will have had children who have left the parental home. Couple without children families will overtake two-parent families to become the most common family type in 2008.

The number of households is projected to increase from 1.55 million in 2006 to 2.09 million in 2031.

Households containing one or two people are projected to account for nearly all of this growth.

Geoff Bascand
Government Statistician
8 December 2008

See also the Hot Off The Press information release National Family and Household Projections 2006(base)–2031 [PDF].



National Family and Household Projections: 2006(base) - 2031 Highlights

The following highlights are based on series 5B, which assumes medium fertility, medium mortality, long-term annual net migration of 10,000 and 'B' living arrangement type rates (see the 'Commentary' section for more detail):

• The number of families is projected to reach 1.44 million by 2031, an increase of 269,000 (23 percent) from an estimated 1.17 million families at 30 June 2006.

• Most of the growth in families will be in couple without children families, which will overtake two-parent families to become the most common family type by 2008.

• The number of households is projected to reach 2.09 million by 2031, an increase of 535,000 (34 percent) from an estimated 1.55 million households at 30 June 2006.

• One-person households are projected to increase by 71 percent, from 363,000 in 2006 to 619,000 in 2031.

• The average size of households will decrease to 2.4 people by 2031, from 2.6 people in 2006.

• The numbers of families and households will grow faster than the population, which is projected to increase by 22 percent between 2006 and 2031.

Attached is information about the statistics released today.

© Scoop Media

Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On That $4 Billion Hit To National’s Economic Cred

National released its economic and tax policy last Friday. Weirdly, the plan was announced right at the end of the news week, when whatever impact it managed to generate would be likely to dissipate over the weekend. Well…. that now seems all for the best. The plan is now known to have a $4 billion hole in it. Apparently, National used outdated figures for the amount it stood to save from NOT paying into the Super Fund. Amusingly, the $4 billion mistake was almost exactly the same size as the $4.7 billion that National still promises to give away in tax cuts... More>>


Government: More Border Exceptions For Critical Roles

The Government has established class exceptions for border entry for a limited number of veterinarians, deep sea fishing crew, as well as agricultural and horticultural machinery operators. “Tight border restrictions remain the backbone of the Government’s ... More>>


PM: Auckland At Bolstered Level 2, Rest Of Country Provisionally At Level 1

Pandemic alert levels for the whole country have been reviewed by Cabinet and Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern is announcing whether restrictions will be eased. More>>


Labour: Supporting Workers And Valuing Their Contribution

Making sure working New Zealanders are safe, healthy and that their contribution to the economy is valued is at the heart of Labour’s Workplace Relations Policy.
“This is Labour demonstrating its commitment to helping working New Zealanders by increasing sick leave, raising wages, protecting them while they are at work, growing jobs and investing in the economy,”... More>>


PREFU: Economy Doing Better Than Forecast

The Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update released today shows that the near-term economic recovery has been stronger than the Treasury and many economists predicted at the May Budget, as the economy bounced back strongly out of lockdown... More>>


Electoral Commission: Candidate And Party Lists Released

17 registered political parties and 677 candidates will be contesting the 2020 General Election Nominations have now closed and the Electoral Commission has released the electorate and party list candidates for 2020 online at vote.nz . Advance voting ... More>>

National: Plan To Restore NZ’s Prosperity

National’s Economic and Fiscal Plan carefully balances the need to invest in infrastructure and core public services while also reducing tax pressure on Kiwi families and businesses. National Leader Judith Collins and Finance spokesperson Paul Goldsmith unveiled National’s ... More>>


NZ First: Party List

New Zealand First has a proven twenty-seven-year history of bringing balance and common sense to our government. Amid the continued setbacks of COVID-19 restrictions, New Zealand First has once again sustained its profile by selecting a strong team ... More>>

Election: Arriving Travellers In Isolation To Be Able To Vote By Telephone

Up to 5,000 people in managed isolation or quarantine will be able to vote by telephone in the general election and referendums after an amendment to electoral regulations last week. Chief Electoral Officer Alicia Wright says the Electoral Commission sought ... More>>

National: Investing In Our Children’s Future

A National Government will prioritise lifting achievement for all New Zealand children, no matter their background or ability, National Party Leader Judith Collins and National’s Education spokesperson Nicola Willis say. “Parents just want what’s best for ... More>>





InfoPages News Channels