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Roy Morgan Poll: Govt 57.5% Opp 42.5%

New Zealand National-Led Government Gains And Has Winning Lead
57.5% cf. 42.5%

Finding No. 4690 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.: July 28, 2011

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 57.5% (up 2.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 52% (up 3%), ACT NZ 2% (down 1%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 42.5% (down 2.5%) — Labour Party 31.5% (down 2%), Greens 7.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 1 point to 127.5 with 56.5% (up 0.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 29% (down 0.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows an increasing lead for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government (57.5%, up 2.5%), well ahead of the Opposition Parties (42.5%, down 2.5%). A further good sign for the Key Government is the rise in the New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating — up 1pt to 127.5 and now at its highest since mid March.

“Roy Morgan has measured nationwide support for Hone Harawira’s new Mana Party for the first time at 0.5%, level with United Future, after the victory on June 25, 2011 of Harawira in a by-election for his electorate (Te Tai Tokerau) caused by his resignation from the Maori Party.”


Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.


VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY

The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 8, 2008 General Election:

MORGAN POLL NationalLabourGreen PartyACT NZMaori Party*United FutureNZ FirstProgressive PartyMana PartyOther
[ … ]
June 13-26, 20115430.55.52.530.53.5^n/a0.5
June 27 - July 10, 20114933.57.532.50.53^n/a1
July 11-24, 20115231.57.5230.52.5^0.50.5

*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%.

[ … ]

Full report with two-party vote, confidence question, charts and survey details at http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2011/4690/

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