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When And by Whom Will John Key Be Replaced By
IPREDICT LTD
MEDIA RELEASE
10 November 2011
FOR
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
www.ipredict.co.nz
When And by
Whom Will John Key Be Replaced as National Leader?
New
Zealand's online predictions market, iPredict, has today
launched new stocks asking when and by whom John Key will be
replaced as leader of the National Party.
The first set of stocks asks in which year Mr Key will depart as leader of the National Party. The options are:
* 2011 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2011
* 2012 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2012
* 2013 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2013
* 2014 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2014
* 2015 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2015
* 2016 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2016
* 2017 - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2017
* 2018 or later - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=KEY.DEPART.2018L
The price of each stock will indicate the probability that Mr Key will depart as leader of the National Party in the relevant time. The combined value of the stocks should sum to $1 at all times.
The second set of stocks asks who the next leader of the National Party will be and provides the following options:
* Bill English - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.ENGLISH
* Steven Joyce - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.JOYCE
* Judith Collins - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.COLLINS
* Paula Bennett - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.BENNETT
* Jonathan Coleman - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.COLEMAN
* Hekia Parata - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.PARATA
* Amy Adams - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.ADAMS
* Simon Bridges - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.BRIDGES
* Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga - https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=contract_detail&contract=NATLEAD.LOTULIGA
The price of each stock will indicate the probability that that person will become leader of the National Party immediately after Mr Key.
iPredict is owned by Victoria University of Wellington. Details on the company and its stocks can be found at www.ipredict.co.nz
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