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Cablegate: Kazakhstani Survey Team Identifies Priorities In

VZCZCXRO7801
PP RUEHAST
DE RUEHAST #0158/01 2761137
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 031137Z OCT 06
FM USOFFICE ASTANA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0282
INFO RUEHAST/USOFFICE ASTANA 0303
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY 0036
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO PRIORITY 0005
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RHMFIUU/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL
RUEHTA/AMEMBASSY ALMATY PRIORITY 0244

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ASTANA 000158

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE

SIPDIS, DEPARTMENT FOR SCA/CEN (M. O'MARA), SCA/A (N. SINGH)

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECIN EINV MARR NATO AF KZ
SUBJECT: KAZAKHSTANI SURVEY TEAM IDENTIFIES PRIORITIES IN
AFGHANISTAN

REF: ALMATY 3296

1. (SBU) Summary: Kazakhstan will focus on humanitarian
assistance, participation in investment projects, and broadening
commercial ties with Afghanistan, according to the Deputy
Foreign Minister who led the recent survey team to Kabul and two
northern provinces. As a regional leader, Kazakhstan needs to
participate in the reconstruction of Afghanistan. It is not
able to participate militarily or to lead a Provincial
Reconstruction Team at this time, however. End summary.

2. (SBU) The Charge met with Deputy Foreign Minister Kairat
Abdrakhmanov on October 3 to discuss the conclusions of the
Kazakhstani survey team which visited Afghanistan the week of
September 24. Abdrakhmanov, who led the team, expressed
appreciation for U.S. and ISAF support for the team's visits to
Kabul, Mazar-i-Sharif, and Maimana.

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3. (SBU) Kazakhstan needs to be represented in Afghanistan in a
way that corresponds to Kazakhstan's status as a regional
leader, Abdrakhmanov said. The team's meetings with national
and local leaders had revealed great demand for both assistance
and investment. As a result, Abdrakhmanov stated, Kazakhstan
would focus on three tracks of engagement: humanitarian
assistance, participation in investment projects, and commercial
ties.

4. (SBU) Kazakhstani military participation "is impossible at
this point," according to the Deputy Foreign Minister, because
of threats by the Taliban and Al Qaeda against Muslim nations
that send troops to Afghanistan. Abdrakhmanov added that
Kazakhstan was not ready to consider leading a Provincial
Reconstruction Team (PRT), in part due to the significant cost.
He noted that the GOK would look at the possibility of
implementing certain projects via PRTs, as well as through UNOPS.

-------------------

Forms of Engagement

-------------------

5. (SBU) With regard to humanitarian assistance, Abdrakhmanov
mentioned that Kazakhstan was considering helping to train
Afghanistan's police, armed forces, and medical personnel.

6. (SBU) Kazakhstan would also consider upcoming tenders for
copper, iron ore, oil, and gas exploration, he said.
Abdrakhmanov speculated that the opportunities in Afghanistan
were probably too small for a Western oil major like Chevron,
but might be a good fit for Kazakhstani firms. Abdrakhmanov
mentioned that the survey team had seen the Kabul Grain Elevator
project as a potential investment opportunity. He cautioned
that Kazakhstani economic engagement would depend on the final
form of Afghan legislation now under consideration to create the
legal framework for tenders and foreign investment. He added
that the team's conversations with Afghan leaders had given them
confidence that the government was on the right track toward
creating a solid legal framework.

7. (SBU) Abdrakhmanov said that the survey team had seen
opportunities to expand commercial ties between Kazakhstan and
Afghanistan, despite significant competition from other
suppliers in the region. He mentioned possible sales of grain
for human consumption and animal feed, as well as leasing of
agricultural machinery.

----------

Next Steps

----------

8. (SBU) The next step will be to obtain interagency agreement
on allocating budget money for the various areas of engagement,
Abdrakhmanov said. He expressed confidence that funding
approval would be forthcoming, given President Nazarbayev's
personal engagement on the issue. Abdrakhmanov added that he
understood that Kazakhstan's engagement in Afghanistan had been
discussed during President Nazarbayev's recent meeting with Vice
President Cheney in Washington, as well as during Foreign
Minister Tokayev's meeting with Secretary Rice. The Charge told
Abdrakhmanov that Embassy Astana was ready to help facilitate
Kazakhstan's engagement with Afghanistan. The Deputy Foreign
Minister cautioned that the GOK's decision-making might take a
little time, as Kazakhstan had to be certain that it could

ASTANA 00000158 002 OF 002


fulfill any obligations it takes on.

9. (SBU) Abdrakhmanov concluded by saying that the survey trip
had been the beginning of what would be long-lasting cooperation
between Kazakhstan and Afghanistan. He added that the team had
been quite impressed with the professionalism, vision of the
future, and knowledge of the national and regional leaders with
whom the team met in Afghanistan. The visit had left the survey
team quite optimistic about the potential for Kazakhstan's
involvement, while at the same time aware of the many problems
Afghanistan still faces in the form of security threats,
narcotics trafficking, and corruption.
MILAS

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