Cablegate: Court Discredits 2005 Election Results, But
VZCZCXYZ0000
OO RUEHWEB
DE RUEHEG #6521 2961502
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 231502Z OCT 06
FM AMEMBASSY CAIRO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2184
INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS CAIRO 006521
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
NSC FOR DORAN AND WATERS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM EG
SUBJECT: COURT DISCREDITS 2005 ELECTION RESULTS, BUT
PARLIAMENT WILL HAVE THE LAST WORD
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Summary
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1. (SBU) In a series of recent judgments, Egypt's Court of
Cassation has ruled that results of nearly 100 contests in
the 2005 parliamentary elections should be invalidated due to
evidence of voting violations. Ultimate authority for
overturning election results, however, remains with
Parliament. End summary.
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Parliamentary Self-Protection...
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2. (SBU) Judicial review of disputed parliamentary races by
the Court of Cassation (which is responsible for ruling on
voting violations) and the Supreme Administrative Court
(which is responsible for ruling on matters pertaining to the
eligibility of candidates) is an important feature of the
Egyptian political landscape. In the aftermath of the 2000
parliamentary elections, the Court of Cassation and the
Supreme Administrative Court invalidated the results of
several dozen contests. Under Article 93 of the
constitution, the NDP-dominated Parliament chose to disregard
most of these rulings, thereby protecting the disputed
elections in 2000 of NDP heavyweights like Zakariya Azmi
(President Mubarak's chief of staff) and Finance Minister
Yusuf Boutros-Ghali.
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...But Only For the NDP
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3. (SBU) The Parliament did, however, approve the
invalidation of several independent candidates, such as
businessman Ramy Lakah (who was disqualified on the grounds
that he was a dual citizen of France and Egypt) and Islamist
Gamal Hashmat. In Hashmat's case, the court did not dispute
his victory in a run-off election (which was a landslide for
Hasmat who garnered over 13,000 votes to his opponent's
3600), but rather the court ruled that violations by one of
Hashmat's opponents had skewed the race for second place. In
the 2003 special election in Hashmat's district in Damanhour,
heavy security force interference resulted in Hashmat
receiving a paltry 965 votes, while his opponent, Khairi
Kilig of the Wafd, secured nearly 17,000 votes.
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New Judicial Decisions Likely to Embarrass NDP
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4. (SBU) Full details on the Court's recent rulings about
the 2005 Parliamentary elections are not yet public, but
press reporting suggests that the potentially affected
deputies include dozens from the ruling NDP, as well as a
handulf from the legal opposition and the
independents/Islamists. Veteran parliament-watcher Gamal
Essam El-Din (protect) told poloff that he believes the
NDP-controlled majority will follow precedent and opt not to
sanction its own members.
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Comment
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5. (SBU) Article 93 of the Constitution, which gives to
Parliament the right to decide which judicial rulings against
it must be enforced, is routinely invoked by Speaker Fathi
Sorour, who is fond of quoting the legal dictum that "The
Parliament is the master of its own (judicial) rulings." The
Egyptian body politic will be watching closely to see if the
NDP-controlled Parliament follows historical practice and
ratifies only those court judgments that go against select
opposition and independent candidates. If it does so, it is
likely that the 88 independent members of Parliament who are
affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood will cry foul. In a
related recent development, the National Council for Human
Rights, a quasi-governmental body that has surprised many
analysts with its frank criticisms of the Government's human
rights and reform record, has recommended that Article 93 be
amended so that court rulings against Parliament should be
binding and non-reviewable.
RICCIARDONE