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Cablegate: Media Reaction: Iraq: Iraq and Us Midterm Elections; Sao

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RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 7069
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TAGS: KMDR OPRC OIIP ETRD BR
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: IRAQ: IRAQ AND US MIDTERM ELECTIONS; SAO
PAULO


"Iraq And The US Elections"

Liberal, largest national circulation daily Folha de S. Paulo
(10/26) editorialized: "In view of the prospect that the Republicans
may lose the majority in the House or in the Senate, or in both, in
the upcoming midterm elections, President George W. Bush spoke once
against yesterday about Iraq - one of the topics responsible for his
party's low popularity. He spoke, but didn't say much because he
couldn't. Speaking impartially about the Iraqi question would mean
to admit failure, something that Bush is not willing to do. The
truth is almost simple: the US made a mistake when it invaded Iraq
and has not been able to prevent that nation from getting involved
in a civil war that is expected to last for years to come. And
worse, if the US troops leave Iraq now, as part of public opinion is
beginning to demand, the crisis might be aggravated and spread to
other Middle East nations.... The outcome of the US military
adventure in Iraq is still unknown. The chances of an implosion and
fragmentation of Iraq into smaller states are great. If there is one
certainty, it is that if a split really occurs it will cause further
tensions in the already disturbed Middle East. But this is a subject
that neither Bush nor the Democrats want to debate openly."
McMullen

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