Cablegate: Russia/Ossetia

VZCZCXYZ0000
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHSO #0438 2261108
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 131108Z AUG 08
FM AMCONSUL SAO PAULO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8459
INFO RHEHNSC/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 9600
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO PRIORITY 8815
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC 3149

UNCLAS SAO PAULO 000438

SIPDIS

STATE INR/R/MR; IIP/R/MR; WHA/PD

DEPT PASS USTR

USDOC 4322/MAC/OLAC/JAFEE
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KMDR OPRC OIIP ETRD BR
SUBJECT: RUSSIA/OSSETIA

The Scenario Changes

Editorial in liberal Folha de S. Paulo (08/13) says: "...From the
adventure undertook by Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili and
the disproportionate response of Moscow's generals, two things
resulted: suffering and destruction...the result of the
confrontation in the medium term is from another order. The
military answer from Moscow is a clear message addressed not only to
the hostile spirits (threats) to the Kremlin in the region, but
above all to American power. ...U.S. military power continues to
have no rival. But actions in the sense of making it valid in
practice, against opponents of the Islamic world, did not correspond
to the optimism of previous times. ... With Russian showing power
again, with the vigor of several emerging economies, with the
anti-American feeling demonstrated by major oil exporters, the
strategy of the Bush administration of turning its back to the
international negotiating institutions, seems, thus, to find its
limit. The scenario has changed: it is no longer on the horizon of
the present U.S. government to respond to this new reality.
White

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