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Cablegate: H1n1 Update: 12,830 Confirmed Cases

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RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDF RUEHDH RUEHHM RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHMA RUEHPB
RUEHPOD RUEHSL RUEHTM RUEHTRO
DE RUEHRL #1012/01 2311541
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 191541Z AUG 09
FM AMEMBASSY BERLIN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4982
INFO RUEHZN/ENVIRONMENT SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY COLLECTIVE
RUCNFRG/FRG COLLECTIVE
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 0143
RUEHME/AMEMBASSY MEXICO 0400
RUEHFT/AMCONSUL FRANKFURT 8230
RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE USD FAS WASHINGTON DC 0169
RUEAUSA/DEPT OF HHS WASHINGTON DC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0836
RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 1548

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BERLIN 001012

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/CE PETER SCHROEDER
STATE FOR OES/IHB
STATE FOR AID/GH/HIDN
USDA PASS TO APHIS
HHS PASS TO CDC
HHS FOR OGHA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: TBIO KFLU ECON PREL SOCI CASC EAGR MX GM
SUBJECT: H1N1 UPDATE: 12,830 CONFIRMED CASES

REF: A) Berlin 1007, B) Berlin 1001 and previous.

1. (U) SUMMARY: The number of confirmed H1N1 infections in
Germany increased over the past two days by 710 new cases,
bringing the total as of August 19 to 12,830. The daily rate
of increase has slightly declined. On August 19, the Cabinet
approved a Health Ministry regulation on establishing
procedures for mass vaccination for this fall. END SUMMARY

2. (U) At its August 18 press briefing, the National
Reference
Center for Influenza at the Robert Koch Institute (RKI)
confirmed a total of 373 new (laboratory and non-laboratory)
H1N1 cases in Germany, increasing the total number of H1N1
cases to 12,493. New cases were distributed among six federal
states: North Rhine-Westphalia (126), Lower-Saxony (113),
Baden-Wuerttemberg (78), Bavaria (44), Hamburg (8),
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (3) and Berlin (1).

3. (U) At its August 19 press briefing, the National
Reference
Center for Influenza at the Robert Koch Institute (RKI)
confirmed a total of 337 new (laboratory and non-laboratory)
H1N1 cases in Germany over yesterday. This increases the
total number of H1N1 cases to 12,830. New cases today were
distributed among twelve federal states: North Rhine-
Westphalia (110), Baden-Wuerttemberg (64), Rhineland-
Palatinate (47), Hesse (22), Saxony-Anhalt (22), Hamburg (19),
Saxony (13), Berlin (11), Brandenburg (9), Thuringia (8),
Lower-Saxony (7) and Bremen (5).

4. (U) RKI reported that the daily increase rate of new
confirmed cases has slightly decreased over the past few days.
(Comment: According to Post statistical records, the 7 day
moving average of the daily growth rate has recently dropped
to three percent, from a recent high of 15 percent in late
July. To date we have noted two periods of marked increase of
infection in Germany, with roughly 40-day periods between
peaks and troughs. Our data suggests that we are entering
another trough. End Comment.) According to RKI, 510 of the
total 710 new cases are attributed to people returning from
travel abroad. New cases include also non-laboratory H1N1
cases from people who exhibited symptoms after being in
contact with a laboratory confirmed infected person. So far,
all new cases are reportedly mild.

5. (U) North Rhine-Westphalia remains the German state with
the highest number of confirmed virus cases with a total of
4,482, followed by Lower-Saxony (2,185) and Baden-Wuerttemberg
(1,521 cases). About 23 percent (2,946) of all confirmed
infections in Germany have resulted from domestic
transmission.

6. (U) The cabinet passed a Health Ministry regulation on
August 19 that regulates the H1N1 vaccination planned for this
fall. According to the regulation, health companies will have
to cover the costs of vaccinating the first 50 percent of the
German population (41 million people). For the other half,
the government and Laender will use tax revenues to pay for
the costs. Health Minister Ulla Schmidt (SPD) said that anyone
who would like to be vaccinated against the new flu will
receive it. A vaccination series (which will consist of two
doses) will cost 28 Euro. Priority will be given to
individuals who are likely to have contact with infected
people such as medical personnel, police and fire officers as
well as people with medical conditions, including pregnant
women. The execution of the mass vaccination is the
responsibility of the federal states.


German Export Not Affected by New Flu
-------------------------------------

7. (U) According to the German Chamber of Commerce and
Industry (DIHK), Germany's foreign trade has not yet been

BERLIN 00001012 002 OF 002


affected by the new flu development. However, DIHK's foreign
trade expert Axel Nitschke warned that a lack of hygiene
standards could cause a further spread of the virus which
could lead to significant consequences for the global economy.
"Until all employees of a company have been vaccinated, the
company could have come to a stand still stand", he said. He
said that companies should take precautionary measures. So
far, the influenza pandemic has reportedly had only a slight
effect on the tourism industry.


POLLARD

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