Cablegate: Media Reaction: Six Party Talks, Japanese Election,
RR RUEHCN RUEHGH RUEHVC
DE RUEHBJ #2522 2450913
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 020913Z SEP 09
FM AMEMBASSY BEIJING
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5873
INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE
RHMFIUU/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
UNCLAS BEIJING 002522
DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/CM, EAP/PA, EAP/PD, C
HQ PACOM FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR (J007)
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL ECON KMDR OPRC CH
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: SIX PARTY TALKS, JAPANESE ELECTION,
U.S.-CHINA TRADE RELATIONS
1. SIX PARTY TALKS
"What if the Six-Party Talks completely fail? (pg 14)"
The official Communist Party international news publication Global
Times (Huanqiu Shibao)(09/02): "There are several possible outcomes
If all the parties involved in the Six-Party Talks insist on
maintaining their own views and refuse to make any compromises:
first, the ability to negotiate systematically may disappear.
International society, except for the Six-Party Talks, has no other
negotiation system that insures that they do not irritate North
Korea or offend China. Second, the U.S. and North Korea might
conduct bilateral talks on their own, to the exclusion of all other
parties. Meaning that, the U.S. may accept North Korea's position
as a nuclear country without explicitly announcing their acceptance.
North Korea's nuclear weapons only threaten countries neighboring
North Korea. Third, there could be a 3+1 meeting may be held (the
U.S, Japan, South Korea plus North Korea), excluding China and
Russia. Fourth, the 'Five-Party Talks' may be held. Meaning that,
there are two possibilities: either the U.S., South Korea, Japan and
Russia hold their own Four-Party Talks first and then the U.S.
represents them when it meets with North Korea alone; or the five
parties hold talks together. Either way, the process of
denuclearizing the Korean peninsula excludes China. The negative
impact to China's diplomacy incrementally increases from the first
outcome to the fourth. However, in terms of China's national
interest, the worst outcome is the first outcome. The first outcome
indicates that the international society has no solutions to the
North Korean nuclear issue. The best outcome is the fourth outcome.
The fourth outcome indicates that the denuclearization process is
2. JAPANESE ELECTION
"Reforms start from Japan's political arena (pg 2)"
Guangdong 21st Century Publishing Company Ltd.'s business newspaper
21st Century Business Herald (21Shiji Jingji Baodao)(09/02): "The
victory of Japan's Democratic Party [DPJ] is considered the result
of the bad performance by the Liberal Progressive Party rather than
a strong performance by the DPJ. The DPJ's victory was bolstered by
the economic crisis, which will certainly add pressure to the DPJ's
future abilities. The original political framework, where the needs
of the newly-rising social classes couldn't be satisfied, is the
reason that Japan's party has changed. If it really intends to
construct a two-party system, Japan must reform its bureaucracy.
Generally speaking, with the DPJ's electoral victory, Japan has
entered an irreversible new historical and political phase. It is
improbable that Japan will return to the Liberal Democratic Party's
system where 'one-party rules'. The DPJ will not easily give up
their opportunity to hold onto power and expand their electoral
base. In a sense, the political reform in Japan has provided a new
paradigm for other Asian countries to deepen their democracies."
3. U.S.-CHINA TRADE RELATIONS
"U.S. broiler meat imports attacked; Chinese producers fear losing
market share to cheaper rival (pg 13)"
The official English-language newspaper China Daily (09/02): "The
Chinese government is considering whether to launch trade remedy
measures against imports of broiler meat from the United States, the
largest broiler meat exporter to China, the China Animal Agriculture
Association said. The association, representing 20 large-scale
broiler meat companies whose annual output accounts for more than 50
percent of the total, is worried losing market share to the U.S.
'We are aware of the appeal from the industry and we will carefully
study it and respond accordingly,' said officials from the Ministry
of Commerce. The proposal, if enacted, will be the first trade
remedy deal that China has launched in the agriculture industry and
will seriously reduce U.S. broiler exports. It comes at a critical
time with China and the US embroiled in a row over possible tariffs
imposed on some Chinese made tires. Price is the key reason behind
the shift, as consumers have become more sensitive to it during the
financial crisis. Chinese manufacturers have the capability to meet
domestic demand without U.S. imports."