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Cablegate: Voter Registration Facing Many Challenges

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OO RUEHROV RUEHTRO
DE RUEHKH #1099/01 2720804
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 290804Z SEP 09 ZDK CTG NUMEROUS REQUESTS
FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4480
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
RUEHGG/UN SECURITY COUNCIL COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KHARTOUM 001099

NSC FOR MGAVIN, LETIM
DEPT PLS PASS USAID FOR AFR/SUDAN
ADDIS ABABA ALSO FOR USAU

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM KPKO SOCI EAID SU
SUBJECT: VOTER REGISTRATION FACING MANY CHALLENGES

REF: KHARTOUM 1098

KHARTOUM 00001099 001.2 OF 002


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: The National Election Commission (NEC) announced
that voter registration will take place from November 1 to November
30. Many challenges face the NEC including inadequate logistical
plans, staffing shortfalls, poor constituency delimitation, and the
lack of a voter education program. Election advisors are
pessimistic about the capacity of the NEC to successfully conduct
voter registration. END SUMMARY.

---------------------------------
PLAN ANNOUNCED, BUT ACTION NEEDED
---------------------------------

2. (U) The NEC announced its final voter registration plan on
September 25. Registration will take place from November 1 to
November 30. Registration will be followed by a complaints period
with the final voter list scheduled to be published at the beginning
of January, 2010.

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3. (SBU) In a meeting with poloff on September 25, International
Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) Election Advisor Jerome
Leyraud, stated that the NEC adopted several important proposals to
meet the NEC goal of registering 80 percent of the eligible voter
population, approximately 16.8 million people. NEC agreed not to
computerize its voter list, which posed significant logistical
challenges, and agreed to a realistic number of voter registration
staff. While Leyraud assessed the plan as "feasible", he stated it
must translate into concrete solutions to registration problems.
According to Leyraud, "An inclusive and transparent registration is
unlikely to happen. The NEC is technically ill-prepared and the
one-month countrywide registration is too optimistic."

------------------------------
NO CONCRETE LOGISTICS IN PLACE
------------------------------

3. (SBU) Leyraud indicated that a number of basic aspects of the
voter registration plan remain unaddressed, including logistical
plans for transporting voter registration materials. In a meeting
with poloff on September 24, international election advisors said
they fear that even a well thought out voter registration plan may
not translate into manageable plans on the ground.

---------------
NEC LACKS STAFF
---------------

4. (SBU) According to Leyraud and Ray Kennedy, UNMIS Chief Electoral
Affairs Officer, NEC has not yet begun recruitment of the
approximately 10,821 registration staff, though staff training is
scheduled to begin in a week. In addition, the voter registration
training manual has yet to be finalized and printed.

------------------------------
CONSTITUENCY DELIMITATION POOR
------------------------------

5. (SBU) Constituency delimitation will be a major challenge to
registration according to Lisa Handley, a constituency delimitation
expert. Handley stated that the lack of detailed delimitation will
leave voters, State Election High Committees and the NEC thoroughly
confused (reftel). According to Handley, constituencies have been
poorly defined and have unclear boundaries. This will likely result
in confusion of registration officials and voters regarding who is
eligible to register in which registration center. Furthermore, some
settled areas, for example in Darfur, were not assigned to
constituencies, increasing the likelihood of disenfranchisement of
voters if not addressed.

-------------------------------
VOTER EDUCATION PROGRAM DELAYED
-------------------------------

6. (SBU) Kennedy and Leyraud indicated that a major voter education
campaign is only in the planning stages. In the short time
remaining before November 1, it is imperative for the NEC and State
Election High Committees to inform voters about the registration
process, the election process and the registration locations.

7. (SBU) COMMENT: The NEC has many challenges to overcome to assure
successful voter registration. In light of the problems inherent in
the process as announced, the process may break down, and if so, the
NEC may be forced to revert to unorthodox registration methods, such
as relying on the NCP/state apparatus to mobilize resources in the
North, as it did in the 2003 election. Any failure of the voter

KHARTOUM 00001099 002 OF 002


registration process is likely to foreshadow the NEC's incapacity to
prepare for and conducting polling. END COMMENT.


ASQUINO

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