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Cablegate: Kyiv: Referral Validation Study Results

VZCZCXRO4620
RR RUEHDBU RUEHLN RUEHSK RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHKV #1827 2931312
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 201312Z OCT 09
FM AMEMBASSY KYIV
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8627
RUEHPNH/NVC PORTSMOUTH 0038
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE

UNCLAS KYIV 001827

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR CA/FPP (BILLINGSR), CA/VO/F/P, DS/CR/VG, EUR/UMB, G/TIP
DEPT ALSO PASS TO KCC
DHS FOR CIS/FDNS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: CVIS KFRD CPAS CMGT ASEC UP
SUBJECT: KYIV: REFERRAL VALIDATION STUDY RESULTS

1. (U) Summary: Embassy Kyiv recently concluded a validation study
of visas issued in fiscal year 2008 based on A and B referrals.
During this time period, Post issued 112 visas based on A referrals
and 707 based on B referrals. The validation study showed no
overstays within the statistical sample, and Post detected no fraud
trends with respect to the referral process. End summary.

SAMPLE, DATA COLLECTION, AND METHODOLOGY

2. (U) Post conducted its validation study on 98 randomly selected
applicants from the pool of 112 A referral issuances in fiscal year
2008 (October 1, 2007 through September 30, 2008), and 372 randomly
selected applicants from the pool of 707 B referrals during the same
time period. Post submitted the sample group to CA/FPP for computer
verification of entry/exit records. The study was conducted with a
95 percent confidence rate and a margin of error of 3.8 percent.

RESULTS

3. (U) As of October 7, 2009, Post confirmed that 98 percent of A
referral applicants issued during the study period traveled to the
United States and returned on time. The remaining 2 percent did not
use their visas. With respect to the B referrals, all of the
applicants used their visas, and 99 percent traveled to the United
States and returned on time. The remaining one percent (5 out of 367
applicants in the study sample) were in the United States at the
time of the study, though they had not violated the terms of their
visas as of the study date.

4. (U) Post is pleased with the 100 percent compliance rate by
applicants issued visas as a result of a referral (with a 3.8
percent margin of error). This result confirms the integrity of
Post's referral program, and Post will continue to uphold high
standards for referrals.

PETTIT

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