Cablegate: (C/Nf) Kudos for Presidential Election Reporting

VZCZCXRO1848
RR RUEHRG
DE RUEHC #4981 3101924
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 061920Z NOV 09
FM SECSTATE WASHDC
TO RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 4676
INFO RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE 5632
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO 0002
RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO 0045

C O N F I D E N T I A L STATE 114981

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/06/2034
TAGS: PINR PGOV BR
SUBJECT: (C/NF) KUDOS FOR PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION REPORTING
(C-AL9-02274)

REF: A. BRASILIA 001250
B. RIO DE JANEIRO 000340
C. SAO PAULO 000597
D. RECIFE 000066

Classified By: ELISSA G. PITTERLE, DIRECTOR, INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).

1. (C/NF) WASHINGTON ANALYSTS WISH TO EXTEND THANKS TO ALL
POSTS IN BRAZIL FOR RECENT HIGH-CALIBER REPORTING ON UPCOMING
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN BRAZIL, INCLUDING COMPREHENSIVE
ASSESSMENTS OF CIRO GOMES AND AECIO NEVES. WE APPRECIATED
DETAILS OF NEVES'S LIKELY PLATFORM, SHOULD HE ULTIMATELY RUN
FOR PRESIDENT IN EITHER 2010 OR 2014, AND DETAILS OF HIS
PROBABLE INTERIM STRATEGY, SHOULD JOSE SERRA BECOME THE
BRAZILIAN SOCIAL DEMOCRACY PARTY (PSDB) NOMINEE IN 2010. NEW
INFORMATION ABOUT CIRO GOMES'S ELECTORAL STRATEGY--INCLUDING
LULA ADMINISTRATION EFFORTS TO USE HIS CANDIDACY TO BENEFIT
THE CAMPAIGN OF DILMA ROUSSEFF--WAS PARTICULARLY VALUABLE,
GIVEN GOMES'S RISE IN POLLS RELATIVE TO ROUSSEFF. WE ALSO
APPRECIATED THE ASSESSMENT OF THE LOOMING GOVERNANCE PROBLEM
LIKELY TO EMERGE IN APRIL 2010 WHEN CANDIDATES RESIGN FROM
GOVERNMENT POSTS IN ORDER TO CAMPAIGN, AND WE WELCOMED
PRIVATE CONSULTANTS' ASSESSMENTS OF THE ELECTORAL PROSPECTS
FOR SERRA AND ROUSSEFF. WE WILL BE ABLE TO USE INSIGHTS FROM
THESE CABLES IN LEADERSHIP PRODUCTS, BRIEFINGS, CURRENT AND
LONG-TERM ELECTION PRODUCTION DURING THE COMING MONTHS.
SENIOR NSC OFFICIALS HAVE EXPRESSED INTEREST IN BRAZIL'S
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, EVEN AT THIS EARLY STAGE. MANY
THANKS, AND REGARDS FROM WASHINGTON.
CLINTON

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