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Cablegate: Cndp Complains About Its Exclusion From New Gdrc

VZCZCXRO2015
OO RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #0252 0551247
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O R 241246Z FEB 10
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0276
INFO RWANDA COLLECTIVE
SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY COLLECTIVE
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEHOU/AMEMBASSY OUAGADOUGOU 0010
RUZEHAA/USEUCOM JIC VAIHINGEN GE
RUZEJAA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK

UNCLAS KINSHASA 000252

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PREF PHUM MOPS PINR CG
SUBJECT: CNDP COMPLAINS ABOUT ITS EXCLUSION FROM NEW GDRC

REF: KINSHASA 250; KIGALI 120; KINSHASA 218

1. (SBU) CNDP President Philippe Gafishi met with Goma-based
diplomats (France, EU, Netherlands and Goma poloff) on February 23
to brief them on the GDRC reshuffle (ref C). Gafishi opened by
stressing that all parties to the March 23 Agreements must follow
the peace process to the end. The CNDP viewed the agreement as a
roadmap, which all sides must commit to implement. During a
February 22 press conference in Goma, the CNDP expressed
disappointment at the lack of political integration reflected in
the cabinet reshuffle. Integration, according to the CNDP, had
been one of the most important elements of the accords and
President Kabila had promised to integrate the CNDP into the
government.

2. (SBU) Although the CNDP had been excluded from any ministerial
posts in Kinshasa, it was satisfied with the Tripartite Agreement
(refs A and B) and the timetable established for the return of
refugees, Gafishi stated. Gafishi called for international
community engagement to ensure the timetable would be respected.

3. (SBU) Gafishi also raised CNDP claims, originally made in
January, that approximately 250 of its former soldiers integrated
into the FARDC, had been "mistreated," then killed by FARDC
elements, while on mission to Dungu in Haut Uele. A further CNDP
grievance, according to Gafishi, was Kabila's refusal to sign an
order confirming a commission report recommending grades to be
assigned to CNDP elements integrated into the military and police.
On another topic, while the CNDP war wounded were finally receiving
treatment at a Masisi hospital, there was no care for combatants'
widows and orphans. Gafishi criticized the Stabilization and
Reconstruction Plan for Eastern Congo (STAREC) as a unilateral GDRC
initiative (Note: a CNDP participant in STAREC was present at the
briefing. End note). CNDP members, he claimed, had been fired
from government jobs because of their party affiliation. Gafishi
stressed in English that "there is a long way to go."

4. (SBU) Gafishi said it would be important in 2010 to neutralize
the FDLR to ensure peace and security in the region. He lamented,
however, that the FARDC was poorly trained and equipped. Gafishi
suggested the creation of a special police force to ensure the
security of returning refugees (Comment: This is a tacit admission
that reinsertion of Congolese Tutsi refugees may prove more
difficult than the CNDP publicly claims. End comment).

5. (SBU) As for CNDP electoral prospects, Gafishi refuted those
who believe the CNDP will turn into "another RCD-Goma" with little
electoral support outside of the North Kivu Tutsi community. The
CNDP, Gafishi claimed, has support in all provinces and therefore
it does not fear the electoral process.

6. (SBU) Comment: Gafishi's grievances are the traditional CNDP
complaints. The CNDP would have liked to receive senior posts,
including a ministerial portfolio, in the cabinet reshuffle.
Unsurprisingly, it has publicly voiced its disappointment.
Nevertheless, the CNDP continues to maintain a very strong position
in North Kivu - politically, economically, and even militarily with
"integrated" CNDP units continuing to report to their former CNDP
commanders. Given such a position, in our view, the exclusion of
the CNDP from key posts in the national government will not provoke
an armed response. For now, the biggest tripwire for a resumption
of armed conflict remains the possibility of a haphazard and sudden
return of refugees to the North Kivu. End comment.
GARVELINK

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