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Poll Clash: TVNZ Say National, TV3 Say Labour

Poll Clash - TVNZ says its National – TV3 says its Labour

By Alastair Thompson


TV polls released this evening at 6pm on the two major TV networks signal two different outcomes for the election on Saturday. TV3/TNS says its Labour in the lead, TVNZ/Colmar Brunton says its National.

TV3's TNS poll has Labour ahead by 2 points and able to form a government without Winston's assistance if necessary with the support of the Greens, The Progressive Party and the Maori Party. Labour could also form a Government with the support of its current partners the Greens, The Progressives and United Future.

See full details here:
Pollwatch: TV3/TNS Lab. 40.5% National 38.7%

TVNZ's Colmar Brunton Poll on the other hand has National ahead by six points.

See full details here:
Poll Watch: TV One Colmar Brunton - Nat 43, Lab 37

In the TVNZ poll National would require the support of Winston Peters' NZ First to form a government as the support of United Future and ACT (should Rodney Hide win Epsom) would not be enough.

NZ First's Winston Peters has said he will support the party with the most seats, therefore in theory the TVNZ poll would lead to a National Government.

However, as the parsing of Winston Peters statements remains a hot subject among political commentators and scientists, the actual result that would come from a result as suggested by the TVNZ poll is possibly not quite as clear as it seems. (For an explanation from Winston on his position see… Getting Things Crystal On Coalitions With Winston

Bottom line:

The election remains too close to call.


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