Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
Roy Morgan Poll Oct 20 - Nov 2: Nats 42% Lab 34.5%
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2008/4334/
National Party with lead but Maori Party the key on Election eve
Finding No. 4334 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 1,038 electors from October 20 – November 2, 2008.: November 07, 2008
Click to enlarge
On the eve of the 2008 Election the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National Party support at 42% (down 1%), a 7.5% lead over the Labour Party at 34.5% (up 2.5%).
The MMP system used to elect Parliament means the next Government is likely to be a Coalition led by the National Party with support from ACT NZ, United Future and perhaps the Maori Party. The alternative is a Labour Party led Coalition with support from the Greens, NZ First and the Maori Party.
Support for the Greens 10% (down 1.5%) is near its record high of 11.5%, while support for NZ First is 4.5% (unchanged), ACT NZ 4% (up 0.5%), the Maori Party 2.5% (unchanged), United Future 1% (up 0.5%) and Others and Independents 1.5% (down 0.5%).
The Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating (98.3 points, up 1.3 points) has risen slightly after the RBNZ cut interest rates by 1% to 6.5%.
Gary Morgan says:
“The New Zealand Election is almost here and electors go to the polls tomorrow to elect a new Government. In recent weeks the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll has shown a ‘tightening in the race’ between the Governing Labour Party led by Helen Clark and Opposition Leader John Key’s National Party.
“Despite this, the National Party is still favoured to lead a Coalition Government with support from minor parties ACT NZ, United Future and perhaps the Maori Party.
“The recent rises in support for the Labour Party though have given real hope to the Clark Government that it could yet form a Coalition Government with the support of the Greens, Progressive Party and the Maori Party.
“The Maori Party have been heavily courted by both major parties but are yet to declare which of the major parties they would support to form a Government. In the event of a hung Parliament in which they hold the balance of power, the Maori Party are potential ‘kingmakers.’
Electors were asked: “If an
election were held today which party would receive your
party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 1,038 electors from October 20 — November 2, 2008.
Full results at
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2008/4334/
Roy Morgan Research
New Zealand's leading social and market research company
A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.
Gordon Campbell: On Fast Track Powers, Media Woes And The Tiktok Ban
Binoy Kampmark: Censorship Wars, Elon Musk, Safety Commissioners And Violent Content
Gordon Campbell: On The Public Sector Carnage, And Misogyny As Terrorism
Ramzy Baroud: NATO’s Never-ending War: The 75-Year-Old Bully Is Faltering
Eugene Doyle: Joining AUKUS Not In NZ’s National Interest
Binoy Kampmark: The Australian Defence Formula, Spend! Spend! Spend!