3 News TNS Opinion Poll: 4 –10 May2006

Projected number of seats in the House on the basis of the latest poll results

Number of seats*

Labour 53
National 53
NZ First
Green Party 7
Maori Party 4
United Future 2
Progressive 1
ACT 2

Total seats 122

* These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and ACT winning one electorate seat each and the Maori Party winning four electorate seats

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Research Methodology

Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period 4th to 10th May 2006

Sample Size
1000 voter eligible New Zealanders aged 18+

Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age, sex and geography.

Sample Coverage
National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas

Sample Error
Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level (see below)

Observed Percentages 10% or 90% 20% or 80% 30% or 70% 40% or 60% 50%
Confidence Limits +/- 1.9% +/- 2.5% +/- 2.7% +/- 3.0% +/- 3.1%

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