3 News TNS Opinion Poll: 29 – 5 July 2006

Projected number of seats in the House on the basis of the latest poll results

Number of seats*

Labour 58
National 49
NZ First
Green Party 8
Maori Party 4
United Future 1
Progressive 1
ACT 1

Total seats 122

* These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and ACT winning one electorate seat each and the Maori Party winning four electorate seats

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Research Methodology
Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period 29th to 5th July 2006
Sample Size
1000 voter eligible New Zealanders aged 18+
Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age, sex and geography.
Sample Coverage
National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas
Sample Error
Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level (see below)

Observed Percentages 10% or 90% 20% or 80% 30% or 70% 40% or 60% 50%
Confidence Limits +/- 1.9% +/- 2.5% +/- 2.7% +/- 3.0% +/- 3.1%

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