Andrew Hughes: Bailout This!
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Bailout This!
The Stabilization of the financial sector: The Holy Grail of Economic Salvation
by Andrew Hughes
Global Research, January 27, 2009
Idiocy
is usually described as "endlessly repeating the same
process, hoping for a different result". Lawrence Summers,
Timothy Geithner, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden et al are straining at the leash to get the
Bailout Ball rolling once again. The stabilization of the
financial sector, as elusive as it has been so far, has
become the Holy Grail of Economic salvation. That makes $8.5 Trillion worth of trying
and $0 of result The Knights of the Oval
Table are gathered to plan their mission as their
beleaguered subjects are trying to batter down the castle
gates. It's no small wonder that Geithner wants to get the
money out the door as soon as the end of this week.
The most recent report from the Comptroller of the Currency seems to have gone unnoticed in Washington and the press. If banks are not lending because of increased capital requirements in the face of Credit Default Swaps, other derivatives and loan defaults then the report goes a long way in describing exactly why.
Credit Exposure to Capital ratio. Amounts in $Millions
Bank / Assets / Derivatives / Credit Exposure to Capital Ratio
J.P. Morgan Chase / $1,768,657 / $87,688,008 / 400.2
Citi.................... / $1,207,007 / $35,645,429 / 259.5
Bank Of America..... / $1,359,071 / $38,673,967 / 177.6
HSBC.................... / $181,587 / $4,133,712 / 664.2
The assets comprise
largely of Real estate, residential mortgage, student, car
and credit card loans. With the rise in defaulting
mortgages, delinquent credit card and other debt the problem
can only get worse. To recapitalize the banks to the point
where exposure is low enough to encourage lending would take
trillions and that's before any more fallout from the
collapsing economy. Lending also requires creditworthy
borrowers, the number of which is in a nosedive. The $165
Trillion in notional derivatives and the associated credit
risk related to $15 Trillion in Credit Default Swaps
illustrated below is the poison apple that the taxpayer has
been forced to bite
into.
Bank / Total Credit Derivatives
J.P. Morgan Chase / $9,177,731
Citi................... / $2,939,783
Bank Of America.... / $2,480,672
HSBC................... / $1,152,948
When the "credit crunch" began and Washington began the rush to solve the problem with taxpayer cash, no accounting of this derivative nightmare was ever brought to bear. In all the deliberations and press releases there was not a single mention of the fact that the primary cause of the bank collapse was due to these "instruments of mass destruction". It was widely discussed in the blogosphere but, like the real reasons for invading Iraq, never made it in to the mainstream media. As with Iraq, one would have to assume that the reason was to obfuscate the facts and cajole a shocked public in to accepting as a remedy whatever was proposed by Paulson, Bernanke and Bush. The latter had to be completely aware of the OCC data at the time and to assume that they did not is simply not credible. It would have been completely obvious that $700 Billion would do absolutely nothing to alleviate the crisis. As witnessed in the ensuing months since the TARP bill, how the money was used has been obfuscated and concealed.This was always a scam.
Even as the economic indicators broke one record after another, the recipients of the TARP funds were selling Credit Default Swaps to each other, betting on each other's downfall. They knew the game was up and wanted to profit on the way down as much as they had on the way up. All the major Banks on Wall St. are seeing mounting losses and the failure of one will increase the losses of the other. They are joined at the hip and will fall like a house of cards.
The question begs to be asked, and this is where the cynic in me dominates, what's the plan? When they do fall will the Government nationalize the last one standing for the good of the country and socialize even more of the losses? This would be the coup of the millennium and give birth to a new Governmental paradigm. To have this complete before the economy and society have completely broken down would be a good reason to declare a real National Emergency and declare Martial Law, the legislation, executive orders and infrastructure of which are already in place. How can one not be a cynic when we reflect on what has happened so far?
The numbers are in and the scam stands exposed to those who will look. Which way the story unfolds from here is anyone's guess. But I am ready to bet that Congress will not include the OCC data in the upcoming debate on the next round of cash for the Banks.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Centre for Research on Globalization.
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Andrew Hughes, GlobalResearch.ca, 2009
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