Big Shake Up for Māori voters in Tāmaki Makaurau Electorate
Big Shake up for Tāmaki Makaurau Electorate After
the Māori Option
Te Ata Tino Toa predicts a big shake up for Māori voters in Tāmaki Makaurau – for the better - following the 2018 Māori Option.
The group has been crunching the latest enrolment numbers and predicts several boundary changes if a new Māori seat is created. If there is a new Māori seat as a result of the Option, boundaries will move accordingly, to make room for a new rohe on the map:
Te Ata Tino Toa predicts changes in each of the Māori seats:
The boundary around Te Atatū Peninsula will move west, across to Tāmaki Makaurau.
Tāmaki Makaurau will gain Te Atatū. To balance this change, Manurewa will move over to the current Hauraki Waikato area.
Coromandel may move across to Waiariki. Hauraki Waikato will include Manurewa and the traditional rohe of Waikato iwi from Pūniu north.
Waiariki may gain Coromandel and the eastern area of the electorate will move over to the East. Taupō may move across to Tai Hau-a-Uru.
Ikaroa Rāwhiti may be ‘less Ikaroa’ and more focussed on Hawke’s Bay and the area north along the east coast, then around to Te Whānau-a-Apanui.
This becomes a ‘Western / Te Puku o te Ika’ seat, including New Plymouth, Whaitara, Te Kūiti, Taumarunui, Mangakino, Tokoroa, Taupō and Tūrangi.
As the boundaries of four Māori seats are in this area, movement will occur.
A NEW SEAT – LOWER NORTH ISLAND?
The ‘lower North Island seat’ may include: Wairarapa, Wainuiomata, Lower/Upper Hutt, Porirua, Kāpiti, Palmerston North, Whanganui.
Te Tai Tonga
Lower Hutt and Wainuiomata may move to the new Māori seat listed above.
During their campaign, Te Ata Tino Toa will promote the benefits of gaining a new Māori seat:
- Each Māori seat will cover a smaller area, which allows for better representation in every Māori seat.
- It becomes easier for the MPs to meet kanohi ki te kanohi with voters.
- The new MP in the ‘lower North Island’ seat will be able to represent voters in a rohe that is close to Wellington.
- To gain an eighth Māori seat, or more, we need our people to move to the Māori roll.
Facts and figures about the Māori Option:
- Tai Tokerau has the highest number of voters, 37,401.
- Tai Hau-a-Uru has the lowest number of voters, 34,442.
- Enrolment by rangatahi Māori is increasing.
- Te Ata Tino Toa is running a non-partisan campaign as it wants to focus on the needs of voters, not political parties.
- The Electoral Commission will shortly publish the beginning date for the Option in 2018.
How did Te Ata Tino Toa do this analysis?
We started by reviewing Māori enrolments in each Māori seat (at this link):
We then subtracted 1/7th of voters from each electorate to move them into a new population, to form a new seat.
Māori seat Enrolments
1/7th of enrolments
Tai Tokerau 37,401 5,236
Tāmaki Makaurau 35,390 4,945
Hauraki Waikato 36,561 5,118
Waiariki 36,839 5,157
Ikaroa Rāwhiti 36,209 5,069
Tai Hau-a-Uru 34,442 4,821
NEW SEAT APPROX 31,000 VOTERS
Tai Tonga 35,927 5,029
Using these figures we moved voters around electorates. E.g. to subtract 5,236 voters from Tai Tokerau, we moved Māori voters in Te Atatū, and some in Kelston, over to Tāmaki Makaurau:
This becomes the new approximate boundary for Tāmaki Makaurau.
Tāmakimakaurau then needs to reduce its enrolments at its southern boundary, so Manurewa moves south, and so on.
Te Ata Tino Toa