Latest Poll Almost Certainly A Mistake
4 September 2005
Latest Poll Almost Certainly A
The latest Colmar Brunton poll, showing National
eight points ahead of Labour, is almost certainly wrong
according to Labour's campaign spokesman Pete Hodgson.
"Polls are reported with a margin of error based on a 95
per cent confidence level. That means 19 out of every 20
polls are accurate within the margin of error. It also means
that one poll in 20 records findings outside the margin of
error," said Pete Hodgson.
"This poll sits well outside
the findings of many polls over the past few days or weeks
and is therefore almost certainly a mistake rather than a
© Scoop Media
Gordon Campbell: On Populism And Labour 2017
For many people on the centre-left, populism is a dirty word, and a shorthand for the politics of bigotry. In this country, it has tended to be equated with the angry legions of New Zealand First. Who knew they were not just a reactionary spasm, but the wave of the future?
Certainly, at the end of this week, the next US President will have won office (at least in part) thanks to his proven ability at (a) scapegoating refugees and migrants (b) wooing neo-Nazis and racial supremacists (c) attacking journalists and judges (d) threatening to jail his opponents (e) urging nuclear proliferation and (e) by promising to restrict women’s rights to control their own fertility.
On the face of that campaign record, there wouldn’t seem to be much in common between Donald Trump and say, Spain’s centre-left populist party, Podemos. Yet arguably, the similarities could be instructive for the Labour/Green partnership here. More>>