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3 News TNS Poll: 7th to 13th April 2005

3 News TNS Poll

Embargoed until 6pm Thursday 14th April 2005
Opinion Poll
7th to 13th April 2005

“TNS is the new name for NFO/CM Research,
New Zealand’s leading consultative market research
and intelligence company”
For further information contact:
Steve Kirk or Murray Campbell

Press Release: 3 News TNS Opinion Poll Results
7th – 13th April 2005

Embargoed until 6pm Thursday 14th April 2005

Projected number of seats in the House on the basis of the latest poll results

Number of

Option ::Option
One* :::::Two*

Labour 62 61
National 47 46
NZ First 11 11
Green Party - -
Progressive - 1
ACT - -
United Future - 2
Total seats 120 121

One* These figures include only those parties who gain above the 5% threshold on the Party Vote, and do not take into account Electorate Vote support

Two* These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and NZ First winning one electorate seat each

Research Methodology

Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period 7th April to 13th April 2005

Sample Size
1000 voter eligible New Zealanders aged 18+

Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age, sex and geography.

Sample Coverage
National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas

Sample Error
Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level

MMP Voting : Party Vote
If a general election was held yesterday under MMP, which political party would you have voted for with your Party Vote?
That is, for the political party you most want to be represented in parliament.

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MMP Voting : Electorate Vote
If a general election was held yesterday, using MMP, which party would you have voted for, with your electorate vote?
That is, for the MP in your area.

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Preferred Prime Minister
If you were able to vote for any politician in New Zealand to be Prime Minister, for whom would you vote?

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How is Helen Clark Performing?
Thinking now about the Prime Minister. How would you rate the performance of Helen Clark as Prime Minister? Overall, would
you say that as Prime Minister she is performing well or poorly? Is that Very … or Fairly …?

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How is Don Brash Performing?
And now thinking about Don Brash, the leader of the National Party in opposition. How would you rate his performance.
Overall would you say he is performing well or poorly? Is that Very … or Fairly …?

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How is Don Brash Performing?
And now thinking about Don Brash, the leader of the National Party in opposition. How would you rate his performance.
Overall would you say he is performing well or poorly? Is that Very … or Fairly …?

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I am going to read out some things, both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various politicians.
I would like you to pick out all those statements that you feel fit Helen Clark. Would you say she…

Click for big version

I would now like you to tell me which of these statements you feel fit Don Brash. Would you say he…

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Measures of Confidence

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Additional Questions

Recently John Tamihere strongly criticised some of his Labour Party colleagues and made strong statements about the party being in disarray. Do you think John Tamihere should stay in the Labour Party?

Total Labour
% :::::%
Yes 50 53
No 40 40
Don’t know 10 8
Base 1000 375

Do you think John Tamihere is suitable for a cabinet minister’s position?

Total Labour
% :::::%
Yes 46 41
No 46 53
Don’t know 9 6
Base 1000 375

John Tamihere has criticised the Labour Party and its leadership for being too politically correct. Do you agree or disagree with him?

Total Labour
% :::::%
Strongly agree 37 16
Somewhat agree 24 25
Total agree 61 41
Neither / nor 5 6
Somewhat disagree 17 31
Strongly disagree 9 14
Total disagree 26 45
Don’t know 8 9
Base 1000 375


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