Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


MMP Referendum now a two horse race

November 23, 2011

MMP Referendum now a two horse race

The voting systems referendum is now a two horse race between MMP and First Past the Post, a new analysis of opinion surveys show, and people should vote to keep MMP unless they want to return to FPP, Keep MMP campaigners say.

Keep MMP has analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters’ preference of the alternatives to MMP on Saturday’s ballot paper.

For voters who expressed a preference First Past the Post is the clear leader, meaning if New Zealanders trigger a second referendum in 2014 by voting for change, it will be between MMP and FPP.

Keep MMP spokesperson Sandra Grey said New Zealanders needed to have both eyes open when casting their referendum vote.

“We face the real risk of a slim majority voting for change, thinking that is either how they improve MMP or get to discuss alternatives like STV or SM. This is not the case.”

“Make no mistake, if there is a vote for change on Saturday, all we will be doing is asking ourselves in three years time whether or not we want to go backwards to First Past the Post.”

“Let's not waste time and money on another referendum in 3 years time between MMP and an unfair system we’ve already rejected.”

“Let’s keep MMP, review it and make it even better.”

Sandra Grey slammed the advertising campaign by the anti MMP lobby, saying their advocacy of the SM system was a deliberate attempt to confuse voters.

As John Armstrong noted yesterday, SM now appears doomed. The public are not behind the system and it will not win the second question at Saturday’s referendum. It has come last in every single opinion poll this year, just like it came last in the 1992 referendum."

Sandra Grey advises those who like STV, PV or SM to vote to keep MMP in the first referendum question, then tick their favoured alternative in the second question.

"Then you can send a signal that you like one of those alternatives. But don't expect those options to beat FPP."

"There are two horses that might win this race, and three also rans," said Sandra Grey. "Put your money on the right horse - MMP."

Background

Keep MMP analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters about the 4 alternatives to MMP in Part B of the ballot paper. Below is a graph setting out preferences expressed in these 5 polls (high-res version here).

An excel sheet with the original figures, and links to the polls, is downloadable here.


Click for big version.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On The Legal Fudging Of The GCSB Revelations

As many have noted, the Hager/Snowden revelations of the spying by our security agencies on our Pacific neighbours and allies is a virtual re-run of the pre-election debate.

Unfortunately, it is also a forerunner of the kind of “ debate” we can expect during the upcoming review of the security agency powers, in June. It is a situation where the government (a) stonewalls, (b) baldly asserts that mass surveillance is not occurring despite the Snowden evidence that it is, and (c) claims that the GCSB actions were lawful.

Yet as Greens Co-Leader Russel Norman says, this can be true only if the legislation passed last year by the Key government has made the mass surveillance of New Zealanders – and the related handing over of their private data to the NSA – lawful. More>>

Latest:

 

PARLIAMENT TODAY:

Women's Day, March 8: It’s Time For Men To Step Up For Gender Equality

UN Women is launching the HeForShe campaign in New Zealand at the International Women's Day Parliamentary Breakfast, and is calling on New Zealand men — including politicians and community and sports leaders — to show their commitment to gender equality by signing up to this global campaign. More>>

ALSO:

Teina Pora Wins Appeal: Gordon Campbell On The Privy Council Decision

The quashing of the convictions of Teina Pora for the rape and murder of Susan Burdett in 1992 has shone a spotlight once again on a major gap in the New Zealand justice system... More>>

ALSO:

Urgent Bill Planned: MP Pay Rises To Match Public Service

Prime Minister John Key today announced an overhaul of the Remuneration Authority Act, tying MP salaries to those of the wider public sector, which will be passed under urgency. More>>

ALSO:

PM's Press Conference: MP Pay Rises, Solid Energy, Iraq

Prime Minister John Key answered questions in his Post-Cabinet press conference about the Iraq deployment, Solid Energy and National’s decision to overhaul the Remuneration Authority Act. More>>

ALSO:

Worksafe: MSD Charged Over Work And Income Ashburton Shooting

WorkSafe NZ has laid one charge against the Ministry of Social Development (MSD) in relation to the shooting at the MSD Ashburton office on 1 September 2014 in which two Work and Income staff were killed and another was injured. More>>

ALSO:

Iraq: Ex-Hostage Says Government Not Putting NZers, Iraqis First

Harmeet Singh Sooden is travelling to Iraq in the coming weeks to work with Christian Peacemaker Teams (CPT) on a short-term assignment. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news