Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


MMP Referendum now a two horse race

November 23, 2011

MMP Referendum now a two horse race

The voting systems referendum is now a two horse race between MMP and First Past the Post, a new analysis of opinion surveys show, and people should vote to keep MMP unless they want to return to FPP, Keep MMP campaigners say.

Keep MMP has analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters’ preference of the alternatives to MMP on Saturday’s ballot paper.

For voters who expressed a preference First Past the Post is the clear leader, meaning if New Zealanders trigger a second referendum in 2014 by voting for change, it will be between MMP and FPP.

Keep MMP spokesperson Sandra Grey said New Zealanders needed to have both eyes open when casting their referendum vote.

“We face the real risk of a slim majority voting for change, thinking that is either how they improve MMP or get to discuss alternatives like STV or SM. This is not the case.”

“Make no mistake, if there is a vote for change on Saturday, all we will be doing is asking ourselves in three years time whether or not we want to go backwards to First Past the Post.”

“Let's not waste time and money on another referendum in 3 years time between MMP and an unfair system we’ve already rejected.”

“Let’s keep MMP, review it and make it even better.”

Sandra Grey slammed the advertising campaign by the anti MMP lobby, saying their advocacy of the SM system was a deliberate attempt to confuse voters.

As John Armstrong noted yesterday, SM now appears doomed. The public are not behind the system and it will not win the second question at Saturday’s referendum. It has come last in every single opinion poll this year, just like it came last in the 1992 referendum."

Sandra Grey advises those who like STV, PV or SM to vote to keep MMP in the first referendum question, then tick their favoured alternative in the second question.

"Then you can send a signal that you like one of those alternatives. But don't expect those options to beat FPP."

"There are two horses that might win this race, and three also rans," said Sandra Grey. "Put your money on the right horse - MMP."

Background

Keep MMP analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters about the 4 alternatives to MMP in Part B of the ballot paper. Below is a graph setting out preferences expressed in these 5 polls (high-res version here).

An excel sheet with the original figures, and links to the polls, is downloadable here.


Click for big version.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

Parliament Today:

The Kids: OECD Report Shows Huge Impact Of Poverty On Education

A new report from the OECD has again highlighted the negative effects of poverty, showing that disadvantaged children in New Zealand are more than six times more likely to underachieve in maths than children from wealthier homes. More>>

ALSO:

Pacific: NZ Pledges $500,000 To Help Address Zika

“With the Zika virus now confirmed in a number of Pacific countries, New Zealand is committed to helping limit the impact and spread of the virus in the region,” says Mr McCully. “New Zealand will provide $250,000 as a contribution to the WHO to implement the Pacific Zika Action Plan, and a further $250,000 to enable countries in the region to respond rapidly if required." More>>

ALSO:

Labour: Police Commissioner 'Doesn’t Get Force Needs'

The Police Commissioner has let down the public and his own force by insisting the police have what they need despite it taking a year to solve a burglary and overwhelming number of officers saying they are under-resourced, says Labour’s Police spokesman Stuart Nash. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The US Pressure To Expand Our Role In Iraq

Foreign news services are being more forthcoming about what the “next 12 months” will entail – essentially, the defence ministers will be under US pressure to increase their “training” role preparatory to an assault on the city of Mosul in northern Iraq. More>>

ALSO:

Parliament Restarts: Prime Minister’s Statement

Our policy agenda and legislative programme will reflect the Government’s four priorities: • to responsibly manage the Government’s finances • to build a more competitive and productive economy • to deliver better public services to New Zealanders, an • to support the rebuilding of Christchurch. More>>

ALSO:

NZEI Survey Report: Special Needs Students Missing Out

The survey revealed that around 16 percent of students were on schools’ special needs registers, but nearly 90 percent of schools’ special needs coordinators did not believe there was adequate support for students and their learning... More>>

ALSO:

Interim Report: Waitangi Tribunal On Ture Whenua Legislation

Labour on Proposed changes to Maori land rules: “To have Treaty Negotiations Minister Chris Finlayson dismiss findings as ‘bizarre’ is totally disingenuous and disrespectful. What’s bizarre is Maori Development Minister Te Ururoa Flavell stubbornly pushing through this Bill before the Waitangi Tribunal has even completed its report..." More>>

ALSO:

Spy Update: Appointment Of GCSB Acting Director

GCSB Chief Legal Advisor Lisa Fong will become the Acting Director of the Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB) from 15 February 2016, Minister Responsible for the GCSB Christopher Finlayson announced today. More>>

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news