Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


MMP Referendum now a two horse race

November 23, 2011

MMP Referendum now a two horse race

The voting systems referendum is now a two horse race between MMP and First Past the Post, a new analysis of opinion surveys show, and people should vote to keep MMP unless they want to return to FPP, Keep MMP campaigners say.

Keep MMP has analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters’ preference of the alternatives to MMP on Saturday’s ballot paper.

For voters who expressed a preference First Past the Post is the clear leader, meaning if New Zealanders trigger a second referendum in 2014 by voting for change, it will be between MMP and FPP.

Keep MMP spokesperson Sandra Grey said New Zealanders needed to have both eyes open when casting their referendum vote.

“We face the real risk of a slim majority voting for change, thinking that is either how they improve MMP or get to discuss alternatives like STV or SM. This is not the case.”

“Make no mistake, if there is a vote for change on Saturday, all we will be doing is asking ourselves in three years time whether or not we want to go backwards to First Past the Post.”

“Let's not waste time and money on another referendum in 3 years time between MMP and an unfair system we’ve already rejected.”

“Let’s keep MMP, review it and make it even better.”

Sandra Grey slammed the advertising campaign by the anti MMP lobby, saying their advocacy of the SM system was a deliberate attempt to confuse voters.

As John Armstrong noted yesterday, SM now appears doomed. The public are not behind the system and it will not win the second question at Saturday’s referendum. It has come last in every single opinion poll this year, just like it came last in the 1992 referendum."

Sandra Grey advises those who like STV, PV or SM to vote to keep MMP in the first referendum question, then tick their favoured alternative in the second question.

"Then you can send a signal that you like one of those alternatives. But don't expect those options to beat FPP."

"There are two horses that might win this race, and three also rans," said Sandra Grey. "Put your money on the right horse - MMP."

Background

Keep MMP analysed all published opinion polls in 2011 that asked voters about the 4 alternatives to MMP in Part B of the ballot paper. Below is a graph setting out preferences expressed in these 5 polls (high-res version here).

An excel sheet with the original figures, and links to the polls, is downloadable here.


Click for big version.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell:
On Anne Tolley’s
Callous Folly

Years ago, I remember someone in the Heath Ministry telling me off the record that regulatory oversight in this country largely consisted in ‘waiting for something to turn green or fall off somebody’ before the authorities would swing into action...

Last week’s conflict between Social Development Minister Anne Tolley and District Court judge Carolyn Henwood illustrated quite a few of the flaws in the system. More>>

 

Members’ Bills: Greens' Domestic Violence And Loans Bills Pulled From Ballot

Jan Logie’s Domestic Violence-Victims' Protection Bill introduces workplace protections for victims of domestic violence, including allowing victims to request paid domestic violence leave for up to 10 days... Gareth Hughes’ Bill allows Kiwis with student loans to defer their student loan repayments into a first home savings scheme. More>>

ALSO:

IPCA: Police Did Not 'Deliberately' Use Pepper Spray On 10-Year-Old

"When spraying the man, the officer did not properly consider the necessity of using pepper spray in a confined space, the likelihood that it would affect the other innocent passengers or the fact that he was using a more powerful spray." More>>

ALSO:

Donor Bill Passes: Full Income Compensation For Live Organ Donors

Unanimous cross-party support for the Compensation for Live Organ Donors Bill represents a critical step in reducing the burgeoning waiting list for kidney donations, according to Kidney Health New Zealand chief executive Max Reid. More>>

ALSO:

Earthquake Response: Emergency Legislation Prepared

Three new Bills have been drafted in the wake of the magnitude 7.8 earthquake on November 14 to ensure the government can enable affected communities to respond quickly and efficiently. More>>

ALSO:

Housing MPs: New Building(s) For Parliament

A new building will be erected on Parliament grounds to house Members of Parliament and their staff who currently work in leased accommodation in Bowen House. The plan has cross-Party support, apart from NZ First, said Parliament’s Speaker, Rt Hon David Carter. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news