Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search


2016 property market “The Year of Unpredictability”


2016 property market “The Year of Unpredictability”
Spring property market is not blooming

The traditional lift in housing market activity during September failed to eventuate, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the property market in 2016, says spokesperson Vanessa Taylor.
Real-time market statistics from show new property listings across the country down by 12.2 per cent on the same time the previous year, and the total housing stock down 23 per cent.
“Typically we can see trends around what happens during the different phases of a year, such as a slow-down in the winter months and a resurgence in spring, but 2016 is The Year of Unpredictability,” says Vanessa.
“Traditional seasonal behaviour is diminishing as sellers appear to be more focused on selling at a premium particularly in markets like Auckland, while buyers are considering all their options and properties are now taking a longer time to turn over.”
New asking price high for Auckland but fewer listings and longer to sell
Auckland was the only region in the whole of the country where total housing stock levels increased (by 4 per cent). However new property listings in September were 17.8 per cent lower than the same month in 2015.
While Auckland asking prices hit another all-time high at $933,435 (a 2.8 per cent increase on the previous month), properties are spending longer on the market.
“With fewer new listings coming onto the market, it appears that sellers are looking to command higher prices,” says Vanessa.
“On the other hand, if there were no new listings coming onto the Auckland market, all existing properties would now take 12 weeks to sell, which indicates a slow-down in activity,” she says.
By comparison, in the same period last year (September 2015), if there were no new listings coming onto the Auckland market, all existing properties in Auckland would have taken 9.6 weeks to sell.
Vanessa says it could be that the buyer sentiment has shifted from a “must buy now mentality at all cost” to a more considered view of options, particularly with prices continuing to rise and a limited choice of properties for sale.
Significant fall in new housing stock in Waikato, asking prices up
Waikato’s total housing stock level plunged 31.9 per cent compared to the same month last year which is a massive drop compared with neighbouring Auckland which was the only region where total housing stock levels rose.
“Aucklanders have been active in the Waikato region for quite some time and have perhaps absorbed the first round of property offered by Waikato sellers who capitalised on the demand.”
New property listings coming onto the market in September in the Waikato fell by 20.1 per cent compared to the same time last year and asking prices lifted by 3.0 per cent on the previous month, which is slightly higher than Auckland.
If no new listings came onto the market, all existing properties would be sold in 10 weeks in the Waikato region.
Wellington new listings fall, following a strong August
It’s a similar picture in the Wellington region where new property listings fell 8.1 per cent in September compared to the same time last year.
“However Wellington is an example of the unpredictable nature of the industry at this time, given that in August 2016 new listings increased by 36.8 per cent compared to August 2015,” says Vanessa Taylor.
Total housing stock in September 2016 was 37.7 per cent lower than the same month the previous year. Property asking prices in Wellington rose 1.4 per cent compared with the prior month.
Property asking prices and new listings fall in Canterbury and Otago
While asking prices in the North Island main centres continued to rise, in Canterbury and Otago they fell by 2.5 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively compared to the prior month.
New listings were also down compared with the previous year, with Canterbury falling by 4.7 per cent and Otago by 12.6 per cent compared to September 2015.


© Scoop Media

Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines


Westpac: Sets Out Plan To Go Cheque-Free

Westpac NZ has announced details of its plan to phase out cheques, after signalling in May that it would be supporting a move to other forms of payment. Cheques will cease to be available as a means of payment after 25 June 2021. Westpac NZ General ... More>>


NZTA: Major New Zealand Upgrade Programme Projects Go To Tender

Two major New Zealand Upgrade Programme projects are beginning tenders for construction. The New Zealand Upgrade Programme is a $6.8 billion investment to get our cities moving, to save lives and boost productivity in growth areas. The first Auckland ... More>>

Reserve Bank: RBNZ Seeks To Preserve Benefits Of Cash

The Reserve Bank – Te Pūtea Matua is taking on a new role of steward of the cash system “to preserve the benefits of cash for all who need them”, Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesby told the Royal Numismatics Society of New Zealand annual conference ... More>>


Economy: Double-Dip Recession Next Year, But Housing Rolls On

New Zealand's economy is expected to slip back into recession early next year as delayed job losses, falling consumer spending, and the absence of international tourists bites into growth. More>>


Microsoft New Zealand: Microsoft Expands “Highway To A Hundred Unicorns” Initiative To Support Startups In Asia Pacific

New Zealand, 14 October 2020 – Today Microsoft for Startups launches the Highway to a Hundred Unicorns initiative in Asia Pacific to strengthen the region’s startup ecosystem. This follows the initiative’s success in India, where 56 startups were ... More>>

Fonterra: Farmers Taking Another Step Towards New Zealand’s Low Emissions Food Production

They’re hot off the press and intended to help take the heat out of climate change. Fonterra farmers are already among the world’s most sustainable producers of milk and now have an additional tool in their sustainability toolbox. Over the last few ... More>>


Courts: Businessman Eric Watson Sentenced To A Four-Month Jail Term

New Zealand businessman Eric Watson has been sentenced to a four-month jail term in the UK for contempt of court, TVNZ reports. More>>

OECD: Area Employment Rate Falls By 4.0 Percentage Points, To 64.6% In Second Quarter Of 2020

The OECD area employment rate – the share of the working-age population with jobs – fell by 4.0 percentage points, to 64.6%, in the second quarter of 2020, its lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2010. Across the OECD area, 560 million persons ... More>>

Spark: Turns On 5G In Auckland And Offers A Glimpse Into The Future Of Smart Cities

Spark turned on 5G in downtown Auckland today and has partnered with Auckland Transport (AT) to showcase some of the latest in IoT (Internet of Things) technology and demonstrate what the future could look like for Auckland’s CBD with the power of 5G. 5G is ... More>>

Stats NZ: Monthly Migration Remains Low

Since the border closed in late-March 2020, net migration has averaged about 300 a month, Stats NZ said today. In the five months from April to August 2020, overall net migration was provisionally estimated at 1,700. This was made up of a net gain ... More>>

University of Canterbury: Proglacial Lakes Are Accelerating Glacier Ice Loss

Lake Tasman, New Zealand | 2016 | Photo: Dr Jenna Sutherland Meltwater lakes that form at glacier margins cause ice to recede much further and faster compared to glaciers that terminate on land, according to a new study. But the effects of these glacial ... More>>


Dairy: Fonterra Sells China Farms

Fonterra has agreed to sell its China farms for a total of $555 million (RMB 2.5 billion*1), after successfully developing the farms alongside local partners. Inner Mongolia Natural Dairy Co., Ltd, a subsidiary of China Youran Dairy Group Limited ... More>>