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3 News TNS Poll - Opinion Poll Results

3 News TNS Poll

Opinion Poll Results

9th to 15th June 2005

[SCOOP EDITOR'S NOTE: TV3 News’ TNS Poll has shown that if an election was held today, based on the poll’s findings, Labour and centre-left parties would not have the numbers to govern alone. The Poll shows New Zealand First on 11 percent with 14 MPs in Parliament. That would place its leader Winston Peters in the box seat to influence policy from either inside or outside a coalition. Centre-right parties would also have the numbers to govern.]

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“TNS used to be called NFO/CM Research, and is still New Zealand’s leading consultative market research and intelligence company”

Projected number of seats in the House on the basis of the latest poll results

Option One* Number of seats These figures include only those parties who gain above the 5% threshold on the Party Vote, and do not take into account Electorate Vote support

Labour 52

National 38

NZ First 14

Green Party 8

Maori Party -

United future -

Progressive -

ACT - -

Option One Total seats 120

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Number of seats Option Two* These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and the Maori Party winning one electorate seat each

Labour 49

National 45

NZ First 14

Green Party 7

Maori Party 3

United future 2

Progressive 1

ACT - -

Option Two Total seats 121

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Visit our web site, http://www.tns-global.co.nz

3 News TNS Opinion Poll

Research Methodology

Date poll was conducted Interviews were conducted over the period 9th June to 15th June 2005

Sample Size 1000 voter eligible New Zealanders aged 18+

Sampling Technique Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age, sex and geography.

Sample Coverage National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas

Sample Error Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level

ENDS

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