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National (44%) Lead Down Over Labour (34.5%)
Finding No. 4865 - This latest New
Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by
telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,008 electors
from January 27 – February 10, 2013. Of all electors
surveyed 3.5% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.: February
13, 2013
Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll
shows a fall in support for Prime Minister John Key’s
National Party to 44% (down 2% since late January). Support
for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 0.5%
(down 1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0%
(unchanged).
Support for Labour is 34.5% (up 3%); Greens are 13.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 4% (down 1.5%), Mana Party 0.5% (unchanged), Conservative Party of NZ 2% (up 1.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).
If a National Election were held today this New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows that Labour and the Greens with some minor Party support would win the Election.
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 2pts to 124.5 with 55% (down 2%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 30.5% (unchanged) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a drop in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National (44%, down 2%) holding a narrowing lead over the main Opposition Labour Party (34.5%, unchanged). However, the support for third party the Greens (13.5%, unchanged) means a left-leaning Labour/ Greens Coalition would be likely to win Government with minor party support.
“Today’s result suggests that Kiwis are not impressed with the deal struck between Prime Minister John Key and his Australian counterpart Julia Gillard which will see New Zealand accept 150 refugees a year from Australia’s off-shore processing centres in Nauru and Papua New Guinea. In addition Labour’s Kiwibuild promise which involves building 10,000 new houses at an affordable cost appears to have struck a chord in the electorate with a significant rise in Labour Party support.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,008 electors from January 27 — February 10, 2013. Of all electors surveyed 3.5% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.
[...]
Original release, with more results and charts.
Roy Morgan Research
New Zealand's leading social and market research company
A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.
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