Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

RMR Poll: National down 2.5% to 46.5%, Labour/Grns NC 42%, NZ First NZ 6%

Media Release
Friday, 20 March 2015

National support slips but would win a close election as New Zealand get set to host Cricket World Cup Quarter-Final


Click for big version

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National falling to 46.5% (down 2.5% since February). However, support has increased for Prime Minister John Key’s Coalition partners with the Maori Party 2% (up 1%) and Act NZ 1% (up 1%) although United Future is still on 0% (unchanged).

Support for the main opposition Labour Party is at 31% (up 1% - their highest level of support for nearly a year since May 2014) but down for the Greens 11% (down 1%) while NZ First is 6% (unchanged). For the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1.5% (unchanged) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (up 0.5%).

If a National Election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows that National would win in a close election.

The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen sharply to 140.5pts (up 16.5pts) following New Zealand’s undefeated start to the Cricket World Cup. There are now 64.5% (up 9.5%) of NZ electors saying NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to just 24% (down 7%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. NZ Government Confidence is still substantially higher than in Australia – Australian Government Confidence last week was at 94pts.


Click for big version

Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman, Roy Morgan Research, says:

“Despite a second straight month of declining support in March Prime Minister John Key’s National 46.5% (down 2.5%) still enjoys a comprehensive lead over the opposition Labour Party 31% (up 1%) – the highest level of support for Labour for nearly a year since May 2014.

“Despite the second consecutive drop in support for National, the Roy Morgan New Zealand Government Confidence Rating has increased strongly to 140.5pts (up 16.5pts) with 64.5% (up 9.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’. In addition, ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence has increased marginally in March to 124.6 (up 0.6pts) – well above Australian Consumer Confidence at 110.8.

“The positive mood in New Zealand this month is supported by a so-far successful Cricket World Cup run with New Zealand winning all six group matches – including a thrilling 1 wicket victory over arch-rival Australia. New Zealand host former World Cup Winners the West Indies this weekend in a World Cup Quarter-Final in Wellington. A victory for the Black Caps will see New Zealand hosting South Africa next week in a World Cup Semi-Final in Auckland.”


Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 896 electors from March 2-15, 2015. Of all electors surveyed 3.5% (down 1.5%) didn’t name a party.

For further information:

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Roy Morgan New Zealand Interactive Voting Charts

These interactive charts allow a deeper look at voting patterns in New Zealand over varying timeframes and provide election observers with the ability to pinpoint key turning points for the political parties.

View interactive New Zealand Election charts here.

Purchase the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Electorate Profiles.


CORRECTION NOTE : Earlier today at 3pm we accidentally posted last month's poll thinking it was this month's poll. Today's poll result is above.

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines


Gordon Campbell: On Finding A Model To Replace The Monarchy


One feels reluctant to pre-empt the verdict of history, but maybe we need to have a Plan B in mind just in case the reign of King Charles III turns out badly. With that possibility in mind, are there any other countries that do a reasonably good job of electing their ceremonial head of state? There is no perfect model for New Zealand to follow but - arguably - Ireland has made a pretty good fist of it over the past 70 years or so. Ireland has roughly the same population as New Zealand, so the pool of talent is similar in size...
More>>



Alastair Thompson: Are There TPLF Ethiopia Insurgency Training & Support Operations in Uganda?


Mystery Document Alleges:
Covert Operation has US/Egypt Support
Operations Coordinated between South Sudan, TPLF and Uganda
Planning began December 2021...

More>>




 
 

Government: Welcomes Climate Change Commission Advice On Agricultural Pricing System
The Government has welcomed advice from the Climate Change Commission assessing readiness in the agricultural sector for an emissions pricing system... More>>

ALSO:

Government: Action To Tackle Delays In Family Court
New legislation aimed at tackling delays in the family justice system, will help improve the wellbeing of thousands of children caught up in Family Court disputes every year, Justice Minister Kiri Allan says... More>>


Prime Minister: Chatham House Speech
What an honour it is to be back in London, and to be here at Chatham house. This visit represents much for me. The reopening of borders and resumption of travel after a difficult few years... More>>


Economy: Financial Statements Of The Government Of New Zealand
Please note the next Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand to be released will be for the full year ended 30 June 2022. It is anticipated that these will be released in early October 2022... More>>



Government: New Era For Better Health In Aotearoa New Zealand

The Government has today delivered a nationwide health system that will ensure better outcomes for all New Zealanders with the establishment of Te Whatu Ora - Health New Zealand... More>>



Greens: Alcohol Harm Minimisation Bill Pulled From Biscuit Tin

After years of research and advocacy, Parliament will finally consider legislation to take meaningful action on alcohol harm, says the Greens... More>>


 
 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

InfoPages News Channels