Cablegate: Cdu-Fdp to Form Coalition in Saxony

P 311633Z AUG 09



E.O. 12958: N/A



1. (U) The Free Democratic Party (FDP) having won 10 percent of
the vote in Saxony state elections August 30, is primed to
replace the Social Democratic Party (SPD) here as preferred
coalition partner for the Christian Democratic Union (CDU),
which won 40.2 percent. The SDP's poor results at 10 percent,
shows it is not a major party in this state. SPD party chairman
Thomas Jurk announced his resignation August 31. Although the
CDU can form coalitions with the SPD or FDP, its declared goal
is to govern with the FDP. A CDU-FDP coalition is also in the
interest of the national CDU and FDP, both of which hope the
August 30 results will boost chances for a similar outcome in
the September 27 national elections. End summary.

--------------------------------------------- -------
CDU-FDP Try to Pave the Way for a National Coalition
--------------------------------------------- -------

2. (U) In Saxony's August 30 state elections, the CDU is the
clearly dominant party (40.2 percent -- the same as 2005), with
The Left Party a distant second with 20.6 percent (- 3 percent),
the SPD 10.4 percent (same as 2005), the FDP 10 percent (+ 4.1),
the Greens 6.4 percent (+ 1), and the NPD 5.6 percent (- 3.6).
The results mean the CDU and FDP can fulfill their shared goal
of forming a coalition in Saxony, hoping to boost both parties
in the national elections four weeks away. FDP politicians told
us they intended to have a coalition agreement signed days
before the national elections.

NPD Retains Some Seats, Despite Losses

3. (U) The right-wing extremist NPD succeeded, for the second
time, in overcoming the 5 percent threshold for entry into
Saxony's parliament despite a loss of 3.6 percent from their
results in the 2005 elections Hard campaigning against the
unpopular social reform Hartz IV gave them a boost in 2005. The
party's ineffectiveness and criminal activities of some of its
representatives probably disappointed some of its former
supporters, although it maintained a voter base of about 100,000
people. This is the first time the NPD has managed to re-enter
a state parliament.


4. (SBU) Saxony remains strong "CDU" territory even though
support has waned over time -- they won 58.1 percent in 1994 and
56.9 percent in 1999. The Left Party retained its position as
second strongest, while the SPD, with results similar to the
FDP, is actually one of the "smaller" parties in Saxony. The
results in Saxony breathe life into the notion that the CDU-FDP
is a viable political constellation. Chancellor Merkel and her
CDU can take some comfort from the CDU's success in Saxony,
although there was never any doubt of these results here. End

5. This message was coordinated with U.S. Embassy, Berlin.


© Scoop Media

World Headlines


IPPPR: The Independent Panel Calls For Urgent Reform Of Pandemic Prevention And Response Systems

Expert independent panel calls for urgent reform of pandemic prevention and response systems The Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response is today calling on the global community to end the COVID-19 pandemic and adopt a series of bold and ... More>>

NGO Coalition On Human Rights: Call For A Stop To Police Brutality In Fiji

A viral video has circulated online showing two police officers utilising disproportionate and excessive force in detaining the suspect, an individual half their size. In the video it shows the man’s head being pressed down on the ground, his arms being ... More>>

UN: India’s New COVID-19 Wave Is Spreading Like ‘Wildfire’, Warns UN Children’s Fund

7 May 2021 A new wave of COVID-19 infections is spreading like “wildfire” across India, leaving many youngsters destitute, the UN Children’s Fund UNICEF said on Friday. In the last 24 hours, India registered 3,915 coronavirus deaths and 414,188 ... More>>

Focus On: UN SDGs

UN: Economic Recovery Under Threat Amid Surging COVID Cases And Lagging Vaccination In Poorer Countries

New York, 11 May — While the global growth outlook has improved, led by robust rebound in China and the United States, surging COVID-19 infections and inadequate vaccination progress in many countries threaten a broad-based recovery of the world ... More>>

Study: Cut Methane Emissions To Avert Global Temperature Rise

6 May 2021 Methane emissions caused by human activity can be reduced by up to 45 per cent this decade, thus helping to keep global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius in line with the Paris Agreement on climate change, according to a UN-backed ... More>>

UN: Learning From COVID-19, Forum To Highlight Critical Role Of Science, Technology And Innovation In Global Challenges

New York, 4 May —To build on the bold innovations in science, technology and innovations that produced life-saving solutions during the COVID-19 pandemic, the UN will bring together experts to highlight measures that can broaden the development and deployment ... More>>