Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 

Record beef returns offset impact of a dry season

19 March 2015

Record beef returns offset impact of a dry season

Drought and the ratio of sheep to cattle farmed are the two factors with the biggest impact on sheep and beef farmers’ incomes this season.

Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) today released its mid-season update. Six months ago, the organisation’s new season outlook predicted the average farm profit before tax would be around $110,800 for 2014-15. However, B+LNZ Economic Service Chief Economist Andrew Burtt says those predictions were based on the assumption that climatic conditions would be normal – and this season has proved to be far from normal in many areas.

“While the average farm profit before tax has been adjusted slightly downwards, to $109,400, North Island profits are expected to increase 19 per cent, to $117,100, while South Island profits are predicted to decrease 20 per cent, to $100,200. The difference can be accounted for by the ratio of sheep to cattle farmed in each island, with cattle making up greater numbers in the north.

“Farm-gate prices for cattle are expected to reach record highs this season, on the back of strong demand and tight supplies, particularly in the US. We are also experiencing the upside of a weaker New Zealand dollar against the US dollar.”

Mr Burtt says total gross farm revenue nationwide should remain similar to last season, with only a 0.7 per cent increase, to $470,500.

“Sheep revenue – which is the largest contributor to gross farm revenue – drops 3.6 per cent, reflecting a drop in both the lamb price and the number of prime lambs sold. Cattle revenue, however, is up 19 per cent to $119,700. Compared to last season, beef export volumes are predicted to rise by 1.2 per cent – reflecting the low dairy payout and dry conditions increasing the dairy cow cull – but the average export value is expected to jump by a significant 31 per cent.”

In other income streams, dairy grazing revenue is anticipated to increase 8.3 per cent, to $22,100, due to more dairy heifers being grazed on sheep and beef as part of the expansion of the dairy industry and a small increase in the per head grazing fee. Cash cropping revenue is forecast to drop 8.2 per cent, reflecting the dry conditions and subsequent reduction in yields.

Mr Burtt says total farm expenditure is estimated to be up 1.2 per cent on last season, to $361,100. “This is primarily due to increases in interest, and repairs and maintenance costs. Interest expenditure is forecast to rise by 2.0 per cent, as a result of both increased term liabilities and the price of borrowing. With expenditure on interest accounting for 14 per cent of total farm expenditure, this relatively small increase does have a significant impact.”

The full report is available on the B+LNZ website at: www.beeflambnz.com/economic-reports

Regional highlights can be found on pages 27 and 28 of the report.
Latest information from the B+LNZ Economic Service:
Farm performance indicators that provides comprehensive data from the Sheep and Beef Farm Survey.
Benchmarking tool that provides an easy-to-use interactive tool for users to compare key performance indicators.
Benchmarking quintile analysis that groups farms by performance, farm class and region.
Price trends showing more than 10 years of annual average and monthly prices for key farm products such as lamb, beef and dairy.
Export analysis tool showing export statistics for October 2010 to February 2015.
Industry production trends that provides access to weekly, monthly and annual slaughter statistics for New Zealand beef, lamb and mutton; livestock numbers for the past 10 years, and estimates for the year ahead.

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Stats NZ: Consents For New Homes At All-Time High

A record 41,028 new homes have been consented in the year ended March 2021, Stats NZ said today. The previous record for the annual number of new homes consented was 40,025 in the year ended February 1974. “Within 10 years the number of new homes ... More>>

Stats NZ: Unemployment Declines As Underutilisation Rises

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased to 4.7 percent in the March 2021 quarter, continuing to fall from its recent peak of 5.2 percent in the September 2020 quarter but remaining high compared with recent years, Stats NZ said today. ... More>>

ALSO:

Digitl: The Story Behind Vodafone’s FibreX Court Ruling

Vodafone’s FibreX service was in the news this week. What is the story behind the Fair Trading Act court case? More>>

Reserve Bank: Concerned About New Zealand's Rising House Prices

New Zealand house prices have risen significantly in the past 12 months. This has raised concerns at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand – Te Putea Matua about the risk this poses to financial stability. Central banks responded swiftly to the global ... More>>

Westpac: Announces Strong Financial Result

Westpac New Zealand (Westpac NZ) [i] says a strong half-year financial result has been driven by better than expected economic conditions. Chief Executive David McLean said while the global COVID-19 pandemic was far from over, the financial effect on ... More>>

MYOB: SME Confidence In Economic Performance Still Cautious

New insights from the annual MYOB Business Monitor have shown the SME sector is still cautious about the potential for further economic recovery, with two-in-five (41%) expecting the New Zealand economy to decline this year. The latest research ... More>>