Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search


How Long Will Lockdown Last?

This is the question burning in most New Zealanders' minds:

What are the key indicators for decision making?
How many new cases are required for the lockdown to continue?
How many deaths?
What is the plan when the lockdown ends?

We understand that the government is dealing with a huge amount of information and challenges, however, we the people need to know the plan, the process, and have a clear indication of what is determining the future of our nation and our people.

Covid-19 has killed an estimated 42,000 people between January 1 and midday April 1 2020 out of 14.7 Million deaths worldwide. Nearly 30,000 people will die from hunger, TODAY, and we have so far this year aborted over 10 Million human children

US statistics show that for every 1% rise in unemployment, mortality rises by 38,000 a year because of death from despair through cardiac arrest, suicide etc. That number equates to 500 per year in NZ. If we end up with a 10% rise in long term unemployment, the effect of that will far outweigh the effect of this virus in the coming years. Whole economies are shut down which means more people will starve, more will become depressed and suicidal, and it is highly likely that more people will abuse drugs and alcohol.

Live statistics from https://www.worldometers.info/ make for sober reading.

  • 121,000 seasonal flu deaths so far this year.
  • 1.9M deaths of children under 5 this year
  • 3.3M deaths from communicable diseases this year
  • 627,000 deaths from alcohol this year worldwide (our government has designated alcohol sales as an essential service when for every Covid 19 death there have been 15 alcohol related deaths)

In light of these readily available facts, again, how long should the lockdown last?

We understand that the answer to this is dependent on the statistics, but we the people must know what those indicators are and how we are tracking to plan for the future. We must know that the statistics are presenting an accurate picture of reality.

If statistics continue to show that it is mainly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions that are worst affected, then it is a reasonable balance to implement the following as a first step toward normality:

  • Limit the lockdown to four weeks, unless we see a dramatic increase in the serious infection of those considered least vulnerable, so that the general population can return to some normality.
  • All people over 70 to remain in isolation.
  • All people with existing health conditions to remain in isolation.
  • Testing capabilities increased and result return times decreased.
  • Anyone entering New Zealand will be tested and kept in quarantine until test results are received.
  • All businesses that can operate with minimal personal contact will be allowed to open.
  • All people in New Zealand will be strongly encouraged to wear face masks as this reduces the quantity of the virus which means you get a smaller dose. The smaller the dose the more opportunity your body has of developing immunity without severe symptoms.
  • Butchers, grocers, fishmongers, market gardeners and bakeries should be allowed to open as long as they have contactless point of sales.
  • Anyone who is physically healthy will be allowed to return to work.
  • Strict hygiene will be maintained and social distancing will continue to be observed.
  • All emergency service personnel that interact with people will use PPE, (masks, gloves etc) including the police.
  • Increased efforts and resources will be implemented to track and trace those with the virus and where they have been.

Covid-19 is horrible, but as we have seen with previous outbreaks, such as SARS, Swineflu and MERS, projected deaths were severely over-estimated and implementing good hygiene practices controlled the virus, allowing life to continue.

The government has the unenviable task of answering:

“When does the effect of the lock down become more detrimental to the nation than the virus itself, and, how do we effectively mitigate the effect of both?”

Post-lockdown we all need to shop, source, and holiday locally to help our smaller businesses recover.

This is a time when we need to work as a community.

© Scoop Media

Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On The Virtues (and Fluffed Opportunities) Of The Operation Burnham Report

One unspoken rule of thumb in any official public inquiry is : whatever you do, don’t conclude you were made to listen to “a litany of lies” even if the evidence of a deliberate cover-up is right there under your nose. In that respect, the report into the 2010 Operation Burnham military raid in Afghanistan has been a model of decorum. Bad stuff did happen and has been duly noted and lamented - but only as a lapse and departure from usual professional standards. Normal service can be trusted to resume shortly... More>>


Environment: Govt Progress On Climate Change Essential, Risk Assessment Shows

The release of the National Climate Change Risk Assessment shows that the progress this Government has made to solve the climate crisis is essential to creating cleaner and safer communities across New Zealand. “Because of this report, we can see clearer ... More>>

Economy: Investing In The Tourism Sector’s Recovery

More than $300 million in funding has been approved to protect strategic tourism businesses, drive domestic tourism through regional events and lift digital capability in the tourism industry, Tourism Minister Kelvin Davis announced today. A $400 million ... More>>


National On MP Bill: Waka-Jumping Repeal Bill Passes First Reading

The Electoral (Integrity Repeal) Amendment Bill has passed its first reading, marking one step closer to Parliament getting rid of NZ First’s ‘waka-jumping’ legislation, National List MP David Carter says. “I’d like to thank the Greens for voting ... More>>


Covid-19:Legislation For Managed Isolation Payments Introduced

Hon Dr Megan Woods Minister of Housing Legislation to allow the Government to recover some of the costs for managed isolation and quarantine will be introduced to Parliament today, said Minister of Housing Megan Woods. “The Bill will allow the government ... More>>


General Election 2020: Newshub-Reid Research Poll Shows Labour Stratospheric And National In Freefall

The latest Newshub-Reid research poll* shows the National party’s leadership crises have catapulted Labour to its highest heights in this poll’s history. It has climbed to 60.9% - an increase of 4.4 percentage points. And National has been punished, ... More>>


Your Vote 2020: Bringing Election Coverage To Viewers Across TVNZ Channels And Platforms

As New Zealand gets ready to head to the ballot box this September, 1 NEWS is bringing voters comprehensive coverage and analysis of this year’s General Election. TVNZ’s coverage will draw on the depth of experience held across the 1 NEWS team, says Graeme ... More>>

Economy: 30% Believe Households Worse Off, 298,000 Expect To Lose Jobs

64% of New Zealanders feel the economic position of their households is the same or better than a year ago – and 30% think it is worse or much worse, while 298,000 think they will lose their jobs in the next 12 months. Households’ perceptions ... More>>

State Services Commission: Findings Of Investigation Into COVID-19 Active Cases Privacy Breach

Deputy State Services Commissioner Helene Quilter has today announced the findings of an investigation into a breach of privacy regarding sensitive personal information. The investigation looked into who or what caused the disclosure of the information, ... More>>

International Security: New Zealand Suspends Extradition Treaty With Hong Kong

The New Zealand Government has suspended its extradition treaty with Hong Kong and made a number of other changes in light of China’s decision to pass a national security law for Hong Kong, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says. More>>


Energy: 100% Renewable Electricity Grid Explored With Pumped Storage ‘battery’

The Government is taking a significant step toward its goal for 100% renewable electricity generation in a move that could be a game changer for consumers and the creation of a low-emissions economy, Energy & Resources Minister Megan Woods said. ... More>>






InfoPages News Channels