Scoop's Election 05 Poll Watch

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  • Molesworth & Featherston (Weekend) – 15 Sept. 2005 - Rolling Poll: Lab 39.72%, Nat 40.76%
  • Centrebet - Brash Firms as PM Betting Favourite After Debate

  • 16 Sept - Herald Digipoll: Lab 44.6%, Nat 37.4%

  • TradeMe - National Picked To Win 45% Of Party Vote

  • Muffin Break - It's National - By Half A Bean!


  • SCOOP POLL WATCH: TVNZ Says Its National – TV3 Says Labour


    Poll Clash - TV polls released this evening at 6pm on the two major TV networks signal two different outcomes for the election on
    Saturday. TV3/TNS says its Labour in the lead, TVNZ/Colmar Brunton says its National. See full details here… See... Poll Clash: TVNZ Say National, TV3 Say Labour. See full details here…Pollwatch: TV3/TNS Lab. 40.5% National 38.7% & here… Poll Watch: TV One Colmar Brunton - Nat 43, Lab 37

  • Hide leading in Epsom - Roy Morgan poll

  • Mâori TV TNS Poll – Te Tai Tonga Electorate

  • Centrebet Election Punters Betting on Change of Govt

  • 14 September - Fairfax ACNielsen - Nat 43%, Lab 37%

  • Generation Jones is driving NZ Voter Volatility

  • Keepleftnz Poll Points to LPG landslide

  • 11 Sept - One News Colmar Brunton poll: Nat 41%, Lab 39%

  • Sept 11 - HoS Digipoll: Lab 42.1%, Nat 38.5%

  • Sept 11 - ACNielsen-SST Poll: Nats 44.1%, Lab 37.2%

  • On the SST poll, see also...Public Address 12/09/05 - Gadzooks!, Frogblog: Who the Hell knows? & Keepleftnz Poll Points to LPG landslide


    Scoop Poll Watch: TV3 Poll Reverses National's Lead


    3 News TNS Poll - Projected number of seats in the House on the basis of the latest poll results Number of seats* Labour 57 National 45 NZ First 6 Green Party 8 Maori Party 2 United Future 2 Progressive 1 ACT - Total seats 121 * These figures are based on Progressive, United Future and the Maori Party winning one electorate seat each See... TV3/TNS Poll Stunner: Lab: 45% Nat: 36%

  • TNS Poll – Te Tai Hauauru Electorate

  • TNS Poll – Te Tai Tokerau Electorate

  • 7 Sept - Parties Neck And Neck In Muffin Break Poll

  • 4 Sept - One News Colmar Brunton: Lab 38%, Nat 46%

  • 3 Sept - Fairfax/AC Nielsen: Nat 44%, Lab 41%

  • 2 Sept - Herald-Digipoll: Lab 43%, Nat 39%

  • Mâori TV TNS Polls:
    Tainui - Mahuta (Labour) 57%, Angeline (Mâori) 36%
    Tamaki Makaurau - Sharples (Mâori) 49%, Tamihere (Labour) 43%

  • 31 August - 3 News TNS Opinion Poll: Lab 48 seats, Nat 51. Also … Full Tabulated Results

  • Muffin Break Bean Poll Puts Labour In The Lead

  • 28 August - One News Colmar Brunton Poll: Lab 43%, Nat 40%

  • 28 August - BRC-SST poll: Nats 43, Lab 37 post Nat tax cuts

  • Herald Digipoll - Labour: 45%, National: 36%

  • Scoop Poll Watch: UMR Insight/NBR Lab: 42 Nat: 33

  • Centerbet 23/8 - Brash's PM Odds Blow Out To A Campaign High


  • Two TV News Polls Confirm Labour Leading - New TVNZ and TV3 polls both show Labour making gains in the crucial party vote. TVNZ's Colmar Brunton Poll has Labour ahead by eight points, TV3's TNS poll shows Labour ahead by four.
    The Latest TV3 Poll points to a Labour/Green/Progessive Government with a majority of one. See... Scoop Poll Watch: TV3 TNS Poll 6pm 22 August and Scoop Poll Watch - TVNZ Colmar Brunton: 21/08/05 Labour Leads

  • 19 August - Morgan Poll Shows Labour Up 2%, Nats Fell 1.5%

  • 12 August - Centrebet: Election Punters Betting That Labour Won Debate


  • Punter Takes A Flutter: $50,000 On The Nose For Labour - A Centrebet punter today bet $50,000 on Labour winning next month's New Zealand election. Centrebet reacted by cutting its exclusive odds on Labour retaining power from 1.61 to 1.53. The Centrebet punter will make a profit of $30,500 if Labour provides the next prime minister. "I'd be very happy if I was Helen Clark and very concerned if I was Don Brash as election punters don't bet so big so early unless their fancy is miles in front," says Centrebet's Gerard Daffy. See... Punter bets $50,000 on Labour winning NZ election

    Scoop Image: Election 2005. Molesworth & Featherston’s Rolling Poll Shows Labour Continues To Rise - The turnaround in Labour’s fortunes in the rash of polls at the end of last week have shot it back in front in our rolling poll of polls, leaving it with a new-found confidence; and all the options. Molesworth & Featherston counts the numbers… See... Molesworth & Featherston (Weekend) – 5 August 2005

  • Scoop Poll Watch: One News Colmar Brunton: Aug 05

  • Maori TV/TNS Poll Samuels Well Behind Harawira

  • Maori TV/TNS Poll: Turia at 74% in Te Tai Hauauru

  • 1 August - Star Times Confirms Labour On The Rise

  • 28 July: - Centrebet: Labour becomes the NZ General Election favourite

  • 27 July - Centrebet: Labour's Loans Policy is a Winner Say NZ Punters

  • 26 July - Centrebet: Labour and National joint favourites for election

  • 25 July - Response To Marae Digipoll Survey Results

  • 18 July - National Increases Lead Over Labour

  • 28 June - NZ Herald-DigiPoll

  • 19 June - TV1 Colmar Brunton Poll

  • 18 June - Fairfax NZ/ACNielsen Poll

  • 15 April - 3 News TNS Poll


  • ENDS
     

    Hunger For Freedom: Julie Webb Pullman On Reaction To Hunger Strike Deal In Gaza

    Despite repeatedly stating that a key demand was an end to administrative detention, and that no partial offer would be accepted, an Israeli offer was yesterday accepted by the Higher Committee for the Hunger Strikers on behalf of the prisoners. Although Israel has agreed to release 19 prisoners from solitary confinement - several of whom have been in isolation for more than ten years - and to lift the ban on family visits for prisoners from Gaza, the agreement states only that administrative detention will not be ‘renewed’ automatically and that after six months, the prisoner must be released, or charged. Current administrative detainees will be released, or charged, at the end of their current sentence. (video by Julie Webb-Pullman - Nakba Vox-pops with Gazans)More>>

    REPORTS ON THE STRIKE END:

    Julie Webb-Pullman: Gaza.Scoop.ps – Real Time News From Gaza

     

    Binoy Kampmark: Getting On The Bus: Obama And Same Sex Marriage

    The gay marriage debate in New Jersey has gone national, with President Obama throwing his own hat in the ring with resounding approval for same-sex unions. Evangelicals are shuddering, and various pro-Obama supporters are shaking their heads. More>>

    The Afghan Peace Volunteers: An Afghan Okinawa

    There is no U.S. troop withdrawal in 2014. We are ordinary Afghans wishing for peace, and we have eyes and ears and feelings of love and despair, so please read on.

    The Washington Post, in reporting the recent signing of the "U.S. Afghan Enduring Strategic Partnership Agreement", stated that U.S. trainers and Special Operations troops that remain beyond 2014 will live on Afghan bases.” More>>

    David Swanson and Leah Bolger: "We Did Not Choose This War" And Other Hypocrisies

    "We did not choose this war. This war came to us on 9/11. We don't go looking for a fight. But when we see our homeland violated, when we see our fellow citizens killed, then we understand what we have to do."

    These are the words that President Obama used on Tuesday to describe the Afghanistan war, but they would have been more appropriately said by any Afghan citizen. More>>

    Gordon Campbell: On The Government’s Self-Defeating Plans For Universities

    Steven Joyce happens to hold a set of portfolios central to the country’s economic planning and future direction. Joyce is the Minister of Economic Development, the Tertiary Education Minister and the Minister of Science and Technology. Theoretically, this should allow him to co-ordinate the government’s efforts in those three vital areas. Yet in his recent announcements on student loans, Joyce’s left hand did not appear to know what his right hand was doing. More>>

    Jens Christian Lund: Why Should We Care About Fate Of Iranian Dissidents In Iraq?

    The fate of a group of Iranian dissidents in Iraq may seem trivial compared to the big issues on stage in the Middle East and other areas of the world. Since I became member of the Danish Parliament, I have tried to follow the situation in Iran and ... More>>

    Chris Hedges: The Implosion Of Capitalism

    When civilizations start to die they go insane. Let the ice sheets in the Arctic melt. Let the temperatures rise. Let the air, soil and water be poisoned. Let the forests die. Let the seas be emptied of life. Let one useless war after another be ... More>>

    Franklin Lamb: Egypt Just Annulled Mubarak’s Natural Gas Giveaway

    The Egyptian people are demanding the return of their sovereignty. According to recent opinion surveys they believe it was partially ceded to Israel by the two post-Nasser dictators, Anwar Sadat and Hosni Mubarak, at the behest of American administrations, ... More>>

    David Swanson: The Global War on Terror, in the original German

    Have we killed as many people as Hitler did? No, not in the same manner. But by sins of both commission (Iraqis bombed and shot, for example) and omission (children starving and suffering from preventable illness, for example) of course we have. And we have the potential to quite easily kill many more.

     
     
     
     
     
     
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