Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
License needed for work use Register

Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search


Key to Key being PM could lie in Tauranga and BOP

Key to Key being PM could lie in Tauranga and BOP Seats The Kiwi Party

Press Release
November 7,2008

The final TV One Colmar Brunton poll last night showed a very close race developing between the National and Labour led coalitions to form a government. The poll predicted a 62 Nat vs. 60 Lab result with a margin of error that could alter that figure anywhere between 64 Nat vs. 58 Lab to 60 Nat vs. 62 Lab.
With the number of undecided voters in the poll at 8% the gap between the two blocks could change even further. The decision as to who becomes our next Prime Minister and forms a government could quite realistically come down to 1 or two seats.

Kiwi Party Leader Larry Baldock today restated the point he has been making throughout the campaign, namely that the National Party could rue the day they decided to promote a two tick strategy in the Tauranga and BOP electorates.
The poll last week and the Kiwi Party's own polling confirms that if less than half the National voters in these two electorates voted strategically by giving their candidate vote to Larry Baldock in Tauranga and Tony Christiansen in the BOP, the Kiwi Party could win these seats.
Since its beginning last year the Kiwi Party has consistently stated it would not support a Helen Clark led government.

A victory in either Tauranga or the BOP seats could mean the addition of some list MPs as well, said Party Leader Larry Baldock.
“I am confident there is considerable support across the country for our values based party. Our 37 candidates have been receiving very positive responses to our policies and principles. The major hurdle for all minor parties is the question of whether the party will pass the threshold to gain seats in Parliament. The polls have consistently shown between 4-6% of Kiwis will vote to see the referendum on the anti-smacking law made binding. The Kiwi Party’s presence in Parliament would ensure that outcome.

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading

Are you getting our free newsletter?

Subscribe to Scoop’s 'The Catch Up' our free weekly newsletter sent to your inbox every Monday with stories from across our network.

“John Key made it clear the National Party was prepared to seek only the party vote in Ohariu to enable Peter Dunne to secure his seat there. A similar announcement here in the Bay of Plenty seats could be even more rewarding for the National Party.

“Most political commentators now consider Winston Peters to have no chance of reclaiming the Tauranga seat and Peter Brown likewise has no chance in the BOP. Our polling shows that motivational speaker and paralympian Tony Christiansen is ahead of the NZ First candidate.

“Tony Ryall needs to decide whether he should settle for being a list MP and the Minister of Health in a National led government rather than an electorate MP in opposition for another 3 years.
In a similar fashion Simon Bridges may end up winning the Tauranga seat only to find his ambition for the seat has cost National the election.

“If the National leadership will not make the call, perhaps the national voters in these electorates will make the decision for them and ensure they avoid a repeat of the 2005 election result,” said Mr Baldock.


© Scoop Media

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On How Climate Change Threatens Cricket‘s Future

Well that didn’t last long, did it? Mere days after taking on what he called the “awesome responsibility” of being Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon has started blaming everyone else and complaining that he's inherited “economic vandalism on an unprecedented scale” - which is how most of us would describe his own coalition agreements, 100-Day Plan, and backdated $3 billion handout to landlords... More

Public Housing Futures: Christmas Comes Early For Landlords

New CTU analysis of the National & ACT coalition agreement has shown the cost of returning interest deductibility to landlords is an extra $900M on top of National’s original proposal. This is because it is going to be implemented earlier and faster, including retrospective rebates from April 2023. More

Green Party: Petition To Save Oil & Gas Ban

“The new Government’s plan to expand oil and gas exploration is as dangerous as it is unscientific. Whatever you think about the new government, there is simply no mandate to trash the climate. We need to come together to stop them,” says James Shaw. More

PSA: MFAT Must Reverse Decision To Remove Te Reo

MFAT's decision to remove te reo from correspondence before new Ministers are sworn in risks undermining the important progress the public sector has made in honouring te Tiriti. "We are very disappointed in what is a backward decision - it simply seems to be a Ministry bowing to the racist rhetoric we heard on the election campaign trail," says Marcia Puru. More




InfoPages News Channels


Join Our Free Newsletter

Subscribe to Scoop’s 'The Catch Up' our free weekly newsletter sent to your inbox every Monday with stories from across our network.