Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

NZ Left Out of the AUKUS Military Initiative

NZ Left Out of the AUKUS Military Initiative that was Not Formed for Defence

By Mark Rais

The recently announced military alliance between the United States, the United Kingdom, and the government of Australia is related to strategic and vital sales of naval weapons capability and not a unique new defence strategy.

There is significant rhetoric whereby some New Zealand media are calling for an end to our nuclear policy to ensure we are not left out of these military alliances. The recent remarks go so far as to suggest that New Zealand being left out of the AUKUS (Australia, UK, US) alliance poses a threat to our safety.

To these particular idealists I submit that neither the United States nor Australia have any documented plans to provide military protection for New Zealand in the event of a regional conflict or direct invasionary threat.

This is based on the strategic principal whereby any expansive conflict that involves New Zealand directly, would have already engaged both the United States and Australia.

The belief that during theatre wide conflict either nation will redirect operational forces to assist New Zealand is naïve at best. Their own strategic initiatives would focus on aggressively confronting enemy forces at their homelands or countering any engagement against existing strategic posts, seen as essential for winning the war.

Therefore, it is a more reasonable strategic position for New Zealand to posture as primarily neutral, and not engage in any direct conflict -- given both its military expenditure levels and the likelihood that a regional Pacific conflict will immediately be robust and multinational.

The United States has and will likely continue to call on New Zealand SoG community and other specialised services if and when needed. This has been and continues to be a more strategic and functional cooperation.

Moreover, if a regional conflict were to break out, it is conceivable that New Zealand being excluded from the AUKUS military alliance potentially offers a better opportunity for defence and de-escalation.

A superficial review of the primary players in the South Pacific region, including Japan and the Philippines, helps to contextualise the vastness and intensity of any regional conflict, were it to break out.

There is little possibility that any direct military engagement in this part of the world would remain minor. The AUKUS alliance validates this further, as regional players are significantly expanding military weapons systems and capability.

Nearly all of the regional players in the South Pacific are armed substantially for prolonged war.

Perhaps the question should not be why New Zealand was left out of the recently announced AUKUS (Australia, UK, US) military initiative.

Instead the question to raise is what will be New Zealand and Canada’s role as international players going forward? Will they use this as an opportunity to redefine their roles as more neutral nations, or instead be drawn into the growing rhetoric that prefaces war?

Other Scoop articles by Mark Rais:

· Clash of Super Powers in an Age of Global Conflict

· Leaders disparage NZ Covid response while their citizens die

Mark Rais is the creator of the think tank Trend Analysis Network, writer for the technology and science industry and volunteer senior editor for an on-line magazine. He has published several books and written numerous articles on the topics of macro-economics, technology and society.

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On Juggling Covid, And France’s Trump-like Populist


It is the age-old Covid problem. How to balance the needs for firms (and schools) to re-open against the need to protect public health. In the past, the balance has been struck by insisting that the best public health outcomes also deliver the best economic (and educational) outcomes. While that may still be objectively true, it is no longer a politically tenable position... More>>

Covid-19 & Education: NCEA And NZ Scholarship Exams To Proceed


NCEA and New Zealand Scholarship exams will proceed, including in areas where Alert Level 3 has been in place, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “The New Zealand Qualifications Authority, Ministry of Education and Ministry of Health have been working together to ensure exams can be managed in a safe way, so students have the opportunity to demonstrate what they have learned... More>>





 
 

Government: New Zealand Secures Historic Free Trade Deal With The United Kingdom
New Zealand and the United Kingdom have agreed in principle the details of a historic Free Trade Agreement (FTA), which will further accelerate our COVID-19 economic recovery say Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Minister for Trade and Export Growth Damien O’Connor... More>>

ALSO:

Ombudsman: Launches Investigation Into MIQ Booking System
The Chief Ombudsman Peter Boshier is launching a broad investigation into the Managed Isolation and Quarantine (MIQ) booking system after receiving hundreds of complaints... More>>

ALSO:



National: Launches Back In Business Plan

Leader of the Opposition Judith Collins has today launched National’s detailed plan to save livelihoods and unleash our economy in the face of the huge damage being wrought by the extended Covid lockdown... More>>

ALSO:


Pay Cheque To Pay Cheque: Half A Million New Zealanders Have No Savings
New findings from the Consumer NZ sentiment tracker found that 15% of New Zealanders had no savings, and a further 27% were anxious about their level of savings and would like to have more tucked away... More>>


Government: Mandatory Vaccination For Two Workforces

Large parts of two workforces critical to preventing the spread of COVID-19 will be required to be vaccinated, COVID-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “Our education and health and disability workforces have done an incredible job throughout this pandemic to keep themselves and people safe,” Chris Hipkins said.... More>>


Green Party: Deeply Concerned Space Launches May Be Breaching Nuclear-free Laws

The Green Party is deeply concerned that space launches by Rocket Lab may be breaching nuclear-free laws, given our long-standing position as a signatory of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty... More>>


 
 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

InfoPages News Channels