Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

ETS changes Put 84% of Bill to Future Taxpayers

ETS Changes Put 84% of Kyoto Bill to Future Taxpayers

Sustainability Council Media Statement - 12 November 2009

Proposed changes to the emissions trading scheme (ETS) would result in 84% or more of the nation’s multi-billion dollar Kyoto liability being put on to future taxpayers. Today’s polluters will pay nothing like today’s emissions bill.

After all the delayed start dates, exemptions, rebates and compensation payments are totted up, the Government would receive just 12 million emission units net under the new ETS, with each unit accounting for a tonne of greenhouse gas emissions. When compared to the Kyoto liability of 76 megatonnes, the amended ETS could not reduce this by more than 16% (12/76 Mt) during the Kyoto period from 2008 to 2012.

84% or more of the Kyoto liability would be transferred to future taxpayers under the proposed new ETS, unless current taxes are raised to fund this. On current plans, a future generation in the 2020s will pay when the forests now earning credits are cut down and the same number of credits will need to be purchased elsewhere to replace them. This is equivalent to putting the bulk of the Kyoto bill on the credit card and would make it a massive intergenerational wealth transfer.

The Kyoto liability of 76 Mt has a value of $2.3 billion at $30/tonne of CO2, increasing to $3.8 billion at $50/t, and $7.6 billion if carbon prices rise to $100/t.

The Treasury’s Kyoto accounts show New Zealand currently in credit with respect to its Kyoto obligations. This is because they do not include the future deforestation costs arising from harvesting those forests that are currently earning credits. However, the Treasury recently advised that it will be necessary to recognise a “contingent liability” on the Government’s books to account for the forestry credits. This would show the cost to a future generation of not making today’s polluters pay today’s emissions bill. Those accounts need to be updated urgently to include this correction and inform consideration of the Bill before Parliament. The current set of accounts gives a misleading impression of the nation’s greenhouse gas position.

These findings are part of an analysis prepared by Geoff Bertram and Simon Terry that also updates key calculations presented in the Sustainability Council’s 2008 report, The Carbon Challenge, including:

• Households would bear half the total costs resulting from the proposed changes to the ETS during its first five years (52%), while accounting for just a fifth of all emissions (19%). Together with small-medium industry, commerce and services, and transport operators, they would pay 90% of the costs resulting from the ETS during the first five years while being responsible for 30% of total emissions.

• Pastoral farmers would gain a $1.1 billion subsidy and pay the equivalent of 2% of their fair share of the Kyoto bill during the first five years of the scheme, while large industrial producers would gain a $488 million subsidy. These figures assume a carbon price of $30/t and would be proportionately greater if the price were higher.

• When considering the full eighty-year transition period from 2010 to 2089, the proposed changes would deliver subsidies to agriculture and large industries with a nominal value of about $100 billion at the $50/t carbon price the Government uses to cost ETS impacts. This is equal to eight years total government spending on health, or 75 years worth of policing.

Two thirds of the subsidy payments would be made to pastoral farmers and one third to major industries. If carbon prices went to $100/t, their total value would be about $200 billion.

Our full report is at:

www.sustainabilitynz.org/docs/ETSBillToAFutureGenerationNov09.pdf

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On Why The Dice Are Loaded Against Women In Public Life

If they enter public life, women can expect a type of intense (and contradictory) scrutiny that is rarely applied to their male counterparts. If they are relatively young and conventionally attractive, such women will tend to be written off as lightweights – yet if they’re older and obviously competent, doubts will then tend to be raised about their “electability” and whether they are “warm” and “likeable” enough to connect with voters. Too conventionally feminine or not conventionally feminine enough? Too cold and too cerebral, or too warm and flighty to be seriously considered for high public office? For women in the public spotlight, the Goldilocks moments (when things are just right) are few and far between. More>>


 
 

PGF Kaikōura $10.88M: Boost In Tourism & Business

The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) is investing $10.88 million to boost business and tourism opportunities in Kaikōura, Parliamentary Undersecretary for Regional Economic Development, Fletcher Tabuteau announced today. More>>

ALSO:

Whitebaiting: Govt Plans To Protect Announced

With several native whitebait species in decline the Minister of Conservation Eugenie Sage has today released proposals to standardise and improve management of whitebait across New Zealand. More>>

ALSO:

Education: Resource For Schools On Climate Change

New resource for schools to increase awareness and understanding of climate change... More>>

ALSO:

In Effect April: New Regulations For Local Medicinal Cannabis

Minister of Health Dr David Clark says new regulations will allow local cultivation and manufacture of medicinal cannabis products that will potentially help ease the pain of thousands of people. More>>

ALSO:


RNZ: New Year Honours: Sporting Greats Among Knights And Dames

Six new knights and dames, including Silver Ferns coach Dame Noeline Taurua and economist Professor Dame Marilyn Waring, have been created in today's New Year's Honours List. The list of 180 recipients - 91 women and 89 men - leans heavily on awards for community service, arts and the media, health and sport.
More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On What An Inquiry Might Look Like

Presumably, if there is to be a ministerial inquiry (at the very least) into the Whakaari/White Island disaster, it will need to be a joint ministerial inquiry. That’s because the relevant areas of responsibility seem to be so deeply interwoven... More>>

ALSO:


 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 


 

InfoPages News Channels